Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a daytime high near 22°C for Paris on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.2°C for the date. Recent model consensus has remained stable, with limited spread across ensembles and no incoming warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating to push readings toward 23–24°C or cooler maritime air to favor 21°C or below. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this narrow forecast range, reflecting high confidence in official guidance while acknowledging typical short-range uncertainty in peak timing and local urban effects.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 18. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Paris am 18. September?
22°C 61%
21°C 27%
23°C 13%
20°C 2%
NEU
$11,107 Vol.
NEU
$11,107 Vol.
18. Sep. 2026
17°C oder niedriger
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
27%
22°C
61%
23°C
13%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
22°C 61%
21°C 27%
23°C 13%
20°C 2%
NEU
$11,107 Vol.
NEU
$11,107 Vol.
18. Sep. 2026
17°C oder niedriger
$1,152 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$524 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$606 Vol.
2%
21°C
$2,304 Vol.
27%
22°C
$2,860 Vol.
61%
23°C
$3,267 Vol.
13%
24°C
$616 Vol.
2%
25°C
$312 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$152 Vol.
<1%
27°C oder höher
$701 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a daytime high near 22°C for Paris on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.2°C for the date. Recent model consensus has remained stable, with limited spread across ensembles and no incoming warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating to push readings toward 23–24°C or cooler maritime air to favor 21°C or below. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this narrow forecast range, reflecting high confidence in official guidance while acknowledging typical short-range uncertainty in peak timing and local urban effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$11,107Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a daytime high near 22°C for Paris on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.2°C for the date. Recent model consensus has remained stable, with limited spread across ensembles and no incoming warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating to push readings toward 23–24°C or cooler maritime air to favor 21°C or below. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this narrow forecast range, reflecting high confidence in official guidance while acknowledging typical short-range uncertainty in peak timing and local urban effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,107Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a daytime high near 22°C for Paris on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.2°C for the date. Recent model consensus has remained stable, with limited spread across ensembles and no incoming warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating to push readings toward 23–24°C or cooler maritime air to favor 21°C or below. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this narrow forecast range, reflecting high confidence in official guidance while acknowledging typical short-range uncertainty in peak timing and local urban effects.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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