Official observations from the National Weather Service and Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport recorded a maximum temperature of 96°F on September 19, 2026, under mostly clear skies with southerly winds and no precipitation. This value aligns precisely with the market's near-100% implied probability for the 96-97°F bin, reflecting traders' access to real-time station data and model guidance that correctly anticipated the day's peak under persistent warm, humid conditions. Historical September averages near 89°F and recent heat-wave patterns provided context, but the outcome hinged on verified measurements rather than forecasts. Revisions to official records or disputes over station siting remain the only realistic paths to altering resolution, though such changes are rare once preliminary data are finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 19. September?
96-97°F 100.0%
89°F oder weniger <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$27,013 Vol.
$27,013 Vol.
89°F oder weniger
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Nein
96-97°F
Ja
98-99 °F
Nein
100-101°F
Nein
102-103°F
Nein
104-105°F
Nein
106-107°F
Nein
108°F oder höher
Nein
96-97°F 100.0%
89°F oder weniger <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$27,013 Vol.
$27,013 Vol.
89°F oder weniger
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Nein
96-97°F
Ja
98-99 °F
Nein
100-101°F
Nein
102-103°F
Nein
104-105°F
Nein
106-107°F
Nein
108°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official observations from the National Weather Service and Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport recorded a maximum temperature of 96°F on September 19, 2026, under mostly clear skies with southerly winds and no precipitation. This value aligns precisely with the market's near-100% implied probability for the 96-97°F bin, reflecting traders' access to real-time station data and model guidance that correctly anticipated the day's peak under persistent warm, humid conditions. Historical September averages near 89°F and recent heat-wave patterns provided context, but the outcome hinged on verified measurements rather than forecasts. Revisions to official records or disputes over station siting remain the only realistic paths to altering resolution, though such changes are rare once preliminary data are finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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