Traders assign near-certainty to a 31°C high in Beijing on September 13 due to real-time observations and model consensus showing peak afternoon temperatures under clear skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity around 20-40%. Official monitoring stations and ensemble forecasts align on this value, consistent with late-summer patterns where September averages reach about 27°C but recent dry, stable conditions have supported warmer peaks. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified data points rather than speculation. A realistic shift would require substantial model revisions, unexpected cloud cover, or an official station reading deviating due to microclimate effects at the primary measurement site.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 13. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 13. September?
31°C 100.0%
24°C oder niedriger <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$91,992 Vol.
$91,992 Vol.
13. Sep. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Ja
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C oder höher
Nein
31°C 100.0%
24°C oder niedriger <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$91,992 Vol.
$91,992 Vol.
13. Sep. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
$73 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$339 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$661 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$1,080 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$8,558 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$29,567 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$18,485 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$18,382 Vol.
Ja
32°C
$9,098 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$4,754 Vol.
Nein
34°C oder höher
$994 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 31°C high in Beijing on September 13 due to real-time observations and model consensus showing peak afternoon temperatures under clear skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity around 20-40%. Official monitoring stations and ensemble forecasts align on this value, consistent with late-summer patterns where September averages reach about 27°C but recent dry, stable conditions have supported warmer peaks. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified data points rather than speculation. A realistic shift would require substantial model revisions, unexpected cloud cover, or an official station reading deviating due to microclimate effects at the primary measurement site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$91,992Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 31°C high in Beijing on September 13 due to real-time observations and model consensus showing peak afternoon temperatures under clear skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity around 20-40%. Official monitoring stations and ensemble forecasts align on this value, consistent with late-summer patterns where September averages reach about 27°C but recent dry, stable conditions have supported warmer peaks. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified data points rather than speculation. A realistic shift would require substantial model revisions, unexpected cloud cover, or an official station reading deviating due to microclimate effects at the primary measurement site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$91,992Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Traders assign near-certainty to a 31°C high in Beijing on September 13 due to real-time observations and model consensus showing peak afternoon temperatures under clear skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity around 20-40%. Official monitoring stations and ensemble forecasts align on this value, consistent with late-summer patterns where September averages reach about 27°C but recent dry, stable conditions have supported warmer peaks. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified data points rather than speculation. A realistic shift would require substantial model revisions, unexpected cloud cover, or an official station reading deviating due to microclimate effects at the primary measurement site.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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