**Current numerical weather prediction guidance from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles places Munich’s September 22 maximum near 16–17 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly flow, and modest insolation.** These conditions suppress afternoon warming relative to the late-September climatological average of roughly 19 °C, keeping the daily peak from reaching 18 °C or higher. Recent model runs have shown minimal spread, with surface observations through midday confirming temperatures tracking the 15–16 °C range and little evidence of a warmer boundary-layer recovery. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17 °C because the consensus forecast and observed trajectory align closely with that threshold, while the small probabilities assigned to 16 °C and 18 °C reflect residual uncertainty in final-hour cloud cover and any minor model adjustments before official DWD verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 22. September?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 22. September?
17°C 70%
16°C 25%
18°C 6%
15°C 3.3%
$42,222 Vol.
$42,222 Vol.
22. Sep. 2026
13°C oder darunter
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
25%
17°C
70%
18°C
6%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
17°C 70%
16°C 25%
18°C 6%
15°C 3.3%
$42,222 Vol.
$42,222 Vol.
22. Sep. 2026
13°C oder darunter
$254 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,349 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$13,139 Vol.
3%
16°C
$6,916 Vol.
25%
17°C
$6,418 Vol.
70%
18°C
$6,492 Vol.
6%
19°C
$2,179 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,110 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,198 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,050 Vol.
<1%
23°C oder höher
$117 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather prediction guidance from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles places Munich’s September 22 maximum near 16–17 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly flow, and modest insolation.** These conditions suppress afternoon warming relative to the late-September climatological average of roughly 19 °C, keeping the daily peak from reaching 18 °C or higher. Recent model runs have shown minimal spread, with surface observations through midday confirming temperatures tracking the 15–16 °C range and little evidence of a warmer boundary-layer recovery. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17 °C because the consensus forecast and observed trajectory align closely with that threshold, while the small probabilities assigned to 16 °C and 18 °C reflect residual uncertainty in final-hour cloud cover and any minor model adjustments before official DWD verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$42,222Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather prediction guidance from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles places Munich’s September 22 maximum near 16–17 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly flow, and modest insolation.** These conditions suppress afternoon warming relative to the late-September climatological average of roughly 19 °C, keeping the daily peak from reaching 18 °C or higher. Recent model runs have shown minimal spread, with surface observations through midday confirming temperatures tracking the 15–16 °C range and little evidence of a warmer boundary-layer recovery. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17 °C because the consensus forecast and observed trajectory align closely with that threshold, while the small probabilities assigned to 16 °C and 18 °C reflect residual uncertainty in final-hour cloud cover and any minor model adjustments before official DWD verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$42,222Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Current numerical weather prediction guidance from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles places Munich’s September 22 maximum near 16–17 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly flow, and modest insolation.** These conditions suppress afternoon warming relative to the late-September climatological average of roughly 19 °C, keeping the daily peak from reaching 18 °C or higher. Recent model runs have shown minimal spread, with surface observations through midday confirming temperatures tracking the 15–16 °C range and little evidence of a warmer boundary-layer recovery. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17 °C because the consensus forecast and observed trajectory align closely with that threshold, while the small probabilities assigned to 16 °C and 18 °C reflect residual uncertainty in final-hour cloud cover and any minor model adjustments before official DWD verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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