Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington's September 22 high will likely reach 13–14 °C amid a southerly wind shift following northerly flow, with widespread cloud and periods of rain suppressing afternoon peaks. This aligns with the historical September average maximum of roughly 14 °C while remaining below the warmer anomalies seen earlier in the month. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, reflecting typical spring variability in frontal timing and wind strength over the Cook Strait region. Traders have priced 14 °C as the clear favorite at 59 % implied probability, with 15 °C a distant second, consistent with the consensus that conditions will stay near climatological norms rather than producing an outlier warm or cold day. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final verification window before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 22. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 22. September?
14°C 59%
15°C 30%
13°C 14%
16°C <1%
NEU
$19,714 Vol.
NEU
$19,714 Vol.
22. Sep. 2026
9°C oder weniger
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
14%
14°C
59%
15°C
30%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C oder höher
<1%
14°C 59%
15°C 30%
13°C 14%
16°C <1%
NEU
$19,714 Vol.
NEU
$19,714 Vol.
22. Sep. 2026
9°C oder weniger
$80 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,334 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$5,316 Vol.
14%
14°C
$4,808 Vol.
59%
15°C
$5,838 Vol.
30%
16°C
$1,639 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
19°C oder höher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington's September 22 high will likely reach 13–14 °C amid a southerly wind shift following northerly flow, with widespread cloud and periods of rain suppressing afternoon peaks. This aligns with the historical September average maximum of roughly 14 °C while remaining below the warmer anomalies seen earlier in the month. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, reflecting typical spring variability in frontal timing and wind strength over the Cook Strait region. Traders have priced 14 °C as the clear favorite at 59 % implied probability, with 15 °C a distant second, consistent with the consensus that conditions will stay near climatological norms rather than producing an outlier warm or cold day. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final verification window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$19,714Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington's September 22 high will likely reach 13–14 °C amid a southerly wind shift following northerly flow, with widespread cloud and periods of rain suppressing afternoon peaks. This aligns with the historical September average maximum of roughly 14 °C while remaining below the warmer anomalies seen earlier in the month. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, reflecting typical spring variability in frontal timing and wind strength over the Cook Strait region. Traders have priced 14 °C as the clear favorite at 59 % implied probability, with 15 °C a distant second, consistent with the consensus that conditions will stay near climatological norms rather than producing an outlier warm or cold day. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final verification window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$19,714Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington's September 22 high will likely reach 13–14 °C amid a southerly wind shift following northerly flow, with widespread cloud and periods of rain suppressing afternoon peaks. This aligns with the historical September average maximum of roughly 14 °C while remaining below the warmer anomalies seen earlier in the month. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, reflecting typical spring variability in frontal timing and wind strength over the Cook Strait region. Traders have priced 14 °C as the clear favorite at 59 % implied probability, with 15 °C a distant second, consistent with the consensus that conditions will stay near climatological norms rather than producing an outlier warm or cold day. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final verification window before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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