**Trader consensus has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature in Beijing on September 14, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment across forecast models and early observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including updated runs from regional agencies, project a daily maximum near 26–27°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and low humidity around 30–40%, consistent with the late-summer climatological average high of 26.7°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without pushing extremes. The market-implied odds capture this strong data consensus while acknowledging minor uncertainty in final verified readings. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud development reducing solar radiation or localized wind shifts that enhance mixing and cap the peak below 26°C; conversely, delayed cooling or urban heat effects remain low-probability risks given the current stable pattern.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 14. September?
26°C 100.0%
21°C oder weniger <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$76,218 Vol.
$76,218 Vol.
21°C oder weniger
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Ja
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C oder höher
Nein
26°C 100.0%
21°C oder weniger <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$76,218 Vol.
$76,218 Vol.
21°C oder weniger
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Ja
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Trader consensus has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature in Beijing on September 14, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment across forecast models and early observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including updated runs from regional agencies, project a daily maximum near 26–27°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and low humidity around 30–40%, consistent with the late-summer climatological average high of 26.7°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without pushing extremes. The market-implied odds capture this strong data consensus while acknowledging minor uncertainty in final verified readings. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud development reducing solar radiation or localized wind shifts that enhance mixing and cap the peak below 26°C; conversely, delayed cooling or urban heat effects remain low-probability risks given the current stable pattern.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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