Anthropic’s Claude family currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards, with variants such as Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 posting scores between 59% and 65% as of mid-September 2026 on the challenging 2,500-question benchmark spanning math, sciences, and humanities. This positioning reflects rapid gains from iterative releases that emphasize extended reasoning, tool integration, and internal R&D automation—Anthropic recently reported Claude now leads 26% of its own model-development tasks. Traders weigh these demonstrated results against the remaining months of 2026, where further model updates or scaling could push the highest Claude score higher before year-end resolution, while noting that competing labs like OpenAI and Google trail on the same benchmark and that HLE’s design intentionally leaves substantial headroom.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$111,004 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
55 %+
86%
60 %+
34%
65 %+
19%
70 %+
12%
75%+
5%
$111,004 Vol.
55 %+
$28,779 Vol.
86%
60 %+
$47,634 Vol.
34%
65 %+
$28,321 Vol.
19%
70 %+
$4,458 Vol.
12%
75%+
$1,813 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude family currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards, with variants such as Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 posting scores between 59% and 65% as of mid-September 2026 on the challenging 2,500-question benchmark spanning math, sciences, and humanities. This positioning reflects rapid gains from iterative releases that emphasize extended reasoning, tool integration, and internal R&D automation—Anthropic recently reported Claude now leads 26% of its own model-development tasks. Traders weigh these demonstrated results against the remaining months of 2026, where further model updates or scaling could push the highest Claude score higher before year-end resolution, while noting that competing labs like OpenAI and Google trail on the same benchmark and that HLE’s design intentionally leaves substantial headroom.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Markt eröffnet: Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
Volumen
$111,004Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://agi.safe.ai/Abwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude family currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards, with variants such as Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 posting scores between 59% and 65% as of mid-September 2026 on the challenging 2,500-question benchmark spanning math, sciences, and humanities. This positioning reflects rapid gains from iterative releases that emphasize extended reasoning, tool integration, and internal R&D automation—Anthropic recently reported Claude now leads 26% of its own model-development tasks. Traders weigh these demonstrated results against the remaining months of 2026, where further model updates or scaling could push the highest Claude score higher before year-end resolution, while noting that competing labs like OpenAI and Google trail on the same benchmark and that HLE’s design intentionally leaves substantial headroom.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$111,004Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://agi.safe.ai/Abwickler
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude family currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards, with variants such as Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 posting scores between 59% and 65% as of mid-September 2026 on the challenging 2,500-question benchmark spanning math, sciences, and humanities. This positioning reflects rapid gains from iterative releases that emphasize extended reasoning, tool integration, and internal R&D automation—Anthropic recently reported Claude now leads 26% of its own model-development tasks. Traders weigh these demonstrated results against the remaining months of 2026, where further model updates or scaling could push the highest Claude score higher before year-end resolution, while noting that competing labs like OpenAI and Google trail on the same benchmark and that HLE’s design intentionally leaves substantial headroom.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird das höchste Ergebnis, das bei Humanity’s Last Exam im Jahr 2026 erzielt wird, 60 % oder mehr betragen?
44%
Ja
Wird die höchste Punktzahl, die ein OpenAI-Modell bei Humanity’s Last Exam im Jahr 2026 erreicht, 55 % oder höher sein?
77%
Ja
Wird die höchste von einem Meta-Modell erreichte Punktzahl bei Humanity’s Last Exam im Jahr 2026 55 % oder mehr betragen?
26%
Ja
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