Renato Casagrande (PSB) maintains a commanding lead in the Espírito Santo Senate race due to his extensive record as a three-term governor who stepped down in April 2026 to pursue the seat, combined with broad coalition backing and consistent polling strength. Multiple surveys from July and August 2026 placed him well ahead of rivals such as Sergio Meneguelli, Fabiano Contarato, Rose de Freitas, and Maguinha Malta in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions, reflecting high name recognition and voter familiarity with his state-level tenure. The October 4 first-round vote, in which electors select two senators, has seen limited late movement that would alter his frontrunner status. Trader consensus reflected in elevated pricing for his first-place finish accounts for these structural advantages, though shifts from undecided voters, turnout patterns, or unexpected campaign developments in the final weeks remain possible variables.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRenato Casagrande 96.3%
Callegari <1%
Leonardo Monjardim <1%
Rodney Miranda <1%
$13,205 Vol.
$13,205 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Renato Casagrande
96%
Callegari
1%
Leonardo Monjardim
1%
Rodney Miranda
<1%
Fabiano Contarato
<1%
Sergio Meneguelli
<1%
Marcos do Val
<1%
Maguinha Malta
<1%
Professor Fabian
<1%
Evair de Melo
<1%
Rose de Freitas
<1%
Renato Casagrande 96.3%
Callegari <1%
Leonardo Monjardim <1%
Rodney Miranda <1%
$13,205 Vol.
$13,205 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Renato Casagrande
$5,899 Vol.
96%
Callegari
$819 Vol.
1%
Leonardo Monjardim
$844 Vol.
1%
Rodney Miranda
$719 Vol.
<1%
Fabiano Contarato
$744 Vol.
<1%
Sergio Meneguelli
$736 Vol.
<1%
Marcos do Val
$725 Vol.
<1%
Maguinha Malta
$982 Vol.
<1%
Professor Fabian
$434 Vol.
<1%
Evair de Melo
$716 Vol.
<1%
Rose de Freitas
$587 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande (PSB) maintains a commanding lead in the Espírito Santo Senate race due to his extensive record as a three-term governor who stepped down in April 2026 to pursue the seat, combined with broad coalition backing and consistent polling strength. Multiple surveys from July and August 2026 placed him well ahead of rivals such as Sergio Meneguelli, Fabiano Contarato, Rose de Freitas, and Maguinha Malta in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions, reflecting high name recognition and voter familiarity with his state-level tenure. The October 4 first-round vote, in which electors select two senators, has seen limited late movement that would alter his frontrunner status. Trader consensus reflected in elevated pricing for his first-place finish accounts for these structural advantages, though shifts from undecided voters, turnout patterns, or unexpected campaign developments in the final weeks remain possible variables.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Volumen
$13,205Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande (PSB) maintains a commanding lead in the Espírito Santo Senate race due to his extensive record as a three-term governor who stepped down in April 2026 to pursue the seat, combined with broad coalition backing and consistent polling strength. Multiple surveys from July and August 2026 placed him well ahead of rivals such as Sergio Meneguelli, Fabiano Contarato, Rose de Freitas, and Maguinha Malta in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions, reflecting high name recognition and voter familiarity with his state-level tenure. The October 4 first-round vote, in which electors select two senators, has seen limited late movement that would alter his frontrunner status. Trader consensus reflected in elevated pricing for his first-place finish accounts for these structural advantages, though shifts from undecided voters, turnout patterns, or unexpected campaign developments in the final weeks remain possible variables.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$13,205Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Renato Casagrande (PSB) maintains a commanding lead in the Espírito Santo Senate race due to his extensive record as a three-term governor who stepped down in April 2026 to pursue the seat, combined with broad coalition backing and consistent polling strength. Multiple surveys from July and August 2026 placed him well ahead of rivals such as Sergio Meneguelli, Fabiano Contarato, Rose de Freitas, and Maguinha Malta in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions, reflecting high name recognition and voter familiarity with his state-level tenure. The October 4 first-round vote, in which electors select two senators, has seen limited late movement that would alter his frontrunner status. Trader consensus reflected in elevated pricing for his first-place finish accounts for these structural advantages, though shifts from undecided voters, turnout patterns, or unexpected campaign developments in the final weeks remain possible variables.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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