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icon for Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amazonas
Politik·Brasilien

Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amazonas

icon for Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amazonas
Politik·Brasilien

Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amazonas

Lula 68%

Flavio Bolsonaro 27%

Clariana Barao <1%

Ronaldo Caiado <1%

Polymarket

$26,955 Vol.

Lula 68%

Flavio Bolsonaro 27%

Clariana Barao <1%

Ronaldo Caiado <1%

Polymarket

$26,955 Vol.

icon for Lula

Lula

$8,525 Vol.

68%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$9,740 Vol.

27%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$921 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$789 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$729 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$571 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$747 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$836 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$1,149 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$855 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$542 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$908 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$641 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest trader consensus for first place in Amazonas due to consistent polling leads or near-ties in the state, backed by established PT infrastructure and stronger interior support that offsets capital dynamics. Recent August surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest showed Lula at 38-40% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 35-39%, with the rest of the field—including Renan Santos, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Augusto Cury—each below 6%. National aggregates reflect a similarly tight presidential race heading into the October 4 first-round vote, where a crowded opposition and low undecided shifts have kept secondary candidates priced near zero. Market pricing for Bolsonaro at roughly one-quarter reflects his evangelical base and capital strength, yet traders appear to discount late swings given the compressed timeline and structural barriers for challengers.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$26,955
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest trader consensus for first place in Amazonas due to consistent polling leads or near-ties in the state, backed by established PT infrastructure and stronger interior support that offsets capital dynamics. Recent August surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest showed Lula at 38-40% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 35-39%, with the rest of the field—including Renan Santos, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Augusto Cury—each below 6%. National aggregates reflect a similarly tight presidential race heading into the October 4 first-round vote, where a crowded opposition and low undecided shifts have kept secondary candidates priced near zero. Market pricing for Bolsonaro at roughly one-quarter reflects his evangelical base and capital strength, yet traders appear to discount late swings given the compressed timeline and structural barriers for challengers.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$26,955
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Lula bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Pará erhalten?

Wird Lula bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Pará erhalten?

93%
Ja
icon for Wird Lula in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Lula in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

70%
Ja
icon for Wird Lula bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Paraíba bekommen?

Wird Lula bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Paraíba bekommen?

98%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amazonas" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Lula" mit 68%, gefolgt von „Flavio Bolsonaro" mit 27%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 68¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 68% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amazonas" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $27K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amazonas" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amazonas" ist „Lula" mit 68%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 68% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Flavio Bolsonaro" mit 27%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Brasilien Präsidentschaftswahl Erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amazonas" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.