Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Acre for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, backed by consistent state-level polling showing him at 42-51% against single-digit or lower shares for rivals including Lula. The senator's strength stems from sustained regional conservative preferences in the Amazonian state, where his father's prior support translated into high rejection of the incumbent (around 62% in mid-2026 surveys) and limited inroads by other candidates. His Liberal Party nomination and validated candidacy have reinforced this positioning ahead of the October vote. Shifts could arise from national campaign developments, candidate debates, or changes in turnout among undecided voters (often 7-14% in recent Acre samples), though no major late alterations have emerged in the past month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFlavio Bolsonaro 97.0%
Clariana Barao <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
$10,656 Vol.
$10,656 Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro
97%

Clariana Barao
<1%

Pablo Marçal
<1%

Ronaldo Caiado
<1%

Zema
<1%

Edmilson Costa
<1%

Renan Santos
<1%

Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%

Samara
<1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%

Lula
<1%

Schriftsteller Augusto Cury
<1%

Hertz Dias
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.0%
Clariana Barao <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
$10,656 Vol.
$10,656 Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro
97%

Clariana Barao
<1%

Pablo Marçal
<1%

Ronaldo Caiado
<1%

Zema
<1%

Edmilson Costa
<1%

Renan Santos
<1%

Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%

Samara
<1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%

Lula
<1%

Schriftsteller Augusto Cury
<1%

Hertz Dias
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Acre for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, backed by consistent state-level polling showing him at 42-51% against single-digit or lower shares for rivals including Lula. The senator's strength stems from sustained regional conservative preferences in the Amazonian state, where his father's prior support translated into high rejection of the incumbent (around 62% in mid-2026 surveys) and limited inroads by other candidates. His Liberal Party nomination and validated candidacy have reinforced this positioning ahead of the October vote. Shifts could arise from national campaign developments, candidate debates, or changes in turnout among undecided voters (often 7-14% in recent Acre samples), though no major late alterations have emerged in the past month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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