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icon for Bahia Senatswahl: 1. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Bahia Senatswahl: 1. Platz

icon for Bahia Senatswahl: 1. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Bahia Senatswahl: 1. Platz

Rui Costa 81%

Jaques Wagner 10.8%

João Roma 6.6%

Angelo Coronel 1.9%

Polymarket

$30,026 Vol.

Rui Costa 81%

Jaques Wagner 10.8%

João Roma 6.6%

Angelo Coronel 1.9%

Polymarket

$30,026 Vol.

icon for Rui Costa

Rui Costa

$14,569 Vol.

81%

icon for Jaques Wagner

Jaques Wagner

$6,075 Vol.

11%

icon for João Roma

João Roma

$2,951 Vol.

7%

icon for Angelo Coronel

Angelo Coronel

$1,901 Vol.

2%

icon for Carlos Sodré

Carlos Sodré

$800 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gregorio Gould

Gregorio Gould

$691 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcelo Carvalho

Marcelo Carvalho

$741 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcelo Millet

Marcelo Millet

$810 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcelo Santtana

Marcelo Santtana

$775 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professora Delliana

Professora Delliana

$713 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rui Costa (PT) holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for first place in the Bahia Senate race, consistent with multiple recent polls showing him ahead of all rivals by wide margins in first- and second-preference voting. As a former two-term governor and Lula administration minister with deep roots in the state's PT machine, Costa benefits from high name recognition and the party's entrenched organizational strength ahead of the October 4 election. Jaques Wagner (PT), the incumbent senator seeking reelection, trails despite similar partisan backing, with support softened by a June 2026 federal police operation tied to a banking scandal. João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) register as distant challengers in surveys, reflecting vote fragmentation among opposition forces and limited momentum in the final weeks. The two-seat, single-round contest favors the top two finishers under Bahia's electoral rules.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$30,026
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rui Costa (PT) holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for first place in the Bahia Senate race, consistent with multiple recent polls showing him ahead of all rivals by wide margins in first- and second-preference voting. As a former two-term governor and Lula administration minister with deep roots in the state's PT machine, Costa benefits from high name recognition and the party's entrenched organizational strength ahead of the October 4 election. Jaques Wagner (PT), the incumbent senator seeking reelection, trails despite similar partisan backing, with support softened by a June 2026 federal police operation tied to a banking scandal. João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) register as distant challengers in surveys, reflecting vote fragmentation among opposition forces and limited momentum in the final weeks. The two-seat, single-round contest favors the top two finishers under Bahia's electoral rules.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$30,026
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?

Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?

65%
icon for Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?

Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?

46%
icon for Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

87%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Bahia Senatswahl: 1. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Rui Costa" mit 81%, gefolgt von „Jaques Wagner" mit 11%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 81¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 81% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Bahia Senatswahl: 1. Platz" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $30K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Bahia Senatswahl: 1. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 10 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Bahia Senatswahl: 1. Platz" ist „Rui Costa" mit 81%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 81% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Jaques Wagner" mit 11%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Bahia Senatswahl: 1. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.