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icon for Tongatapu 2 Nachwahl-Sieger
Welt·Tonga

Tongatapu 2 Nachwahl-Sieger

icon for Tongatapu 2 Nachwahl-Sieger
Welt·Tonga

Tongatapu 2 Nachwahl-Sieger

Alvin Lafu Sika 13%

Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi 12%

Samiuela Vea 11%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki 6%

Polymarket
NEU

Alvin Lafu Sika 13%

Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi 12%

Samiuela Vea 11%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki 6%

Polymarket
NEU

Alvin Lafu Sika

$159 Vol.

13%

Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi

$1,753 Vol.

12%

Samiuela Vea

$167 Vol.

11%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki

$198 Vol.

6%

Lei Paasi

$156 Vol.

5%

Mounu Uaisele

$621 Vol.

4%

ʻIlaisa Lepolo Taunisila

$135 Vol.

3%

Sione Harvard Tupouniua

$196 Vol.

2%

'Olioni Manoa

$130 Vol.

1%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Tongatapu 2 by-election, scheduled for 8 October 2026 under Tonga’s first-past-the-post system, features nine candidates following the unseating of former MP Semisi Sika over bribery and electoral expense violations from the 2025 general election. With nominations closing only days ago, trader pricing shows a fragmented field—Alvin Lafu Sika (Sika’s brother) at 13%, Malakai Matafonuafoʻou ʻOfa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi at 10.5%, and the rest in single digits—reflecting vote-splitting dynamics and the absence of a clear frontrunner. The decision by previous seat-holder ʻUhilamoelangi Fasi not to contest has further opened the race, while three women candidates and localized support bases add to the dispersion. Limited early campaigning and no recent polling keep probabilities closely bunched, with separation likely to emerge from endorsements, constituency-level mobilization, or any late developments ahead of polling day.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volumen
$3,514
Enddatum
8. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Tongatapu 2 by-election, scheduled for 8 October 2026 under Tonga’s first-past-the-post system, features nine candidates following the unseating of former MP Semisi Sika over bribery and electoral expense violations from the 2025 general election. With nominations closing only days ago, trader pricing shows a fragmented field—Alvin Lafu Sika (Sika’s brother) at 13%, Malakai Matafonuafoʻou ʻOfa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi at 10.5%, and the rest in single digits—reflecting vote-splitting dynamics and the absence of a clear frontrunner. The decision by previous seat-holder ʻUhilamoelangi Fasi not to contest has further opened the race, while three women candidates and localized support bases add to the dispersion. Limited early campaigning and no recent polling keep probabilities closely bunched, with separation likely to emerge from endorsements, constituency-level mobilization, or any late developments ahead of polling day.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volumen
$3,514
Enddatum
8. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Tongatapu 2 Nachwahl-Sieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Alvin Lafu Sika" mit 13%, gefolgt von „Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi" mit 12%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 13¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 13% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Tongatapu 2 Nachwahl-Sieger" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 9, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Tongatapu 2 Nachwahl-Sieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 9 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Tongatapu 2 Nachwahl-Sieger" ist „Alvin Lafu Sika" mit 13%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 13% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi" mit 12%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Tongatapu 2 Nachwahl-Sieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.