Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, driven by a 3.9% monthly gasoline surge and 2.1% energy increase, along with the Cleveland Fed's 3.43% nowcast for September, anchor trader positioning around 3.5-3.6% outcomes for the September 2026 annual rate. Elevated oil prices, shelter persistence, and rising one-year consumer inflation expectations to 4.6% amid trade tensions introduce upside risks, while core trends near 2.4% and seasonal moderation could cap readings. The tight spread between leading probabilities reflects uncertainty over energy volatility versus goods deflation, with the October 14 release serving as the key catalyst. Market-implied odds aggregate capital-weighted views on these near-term data dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড3.5% 33%
3.6% 30%
3.4% 21%
3.7% 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 14, 2026
≤2.9%
2%
3.0%
4%
3.1%
5%
3.2%
5%
3.3%
3%
3.4%
21%
3.5%
33%
3.6%
30%
3.7%
9%
3.8%
5%
3.9%
1%
≥4.0%
4%
3.5% 33%
3.6% 30%
3.4% 21%
3.7% 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 14, 2026
≤2.9%
$83 Vol.
2%
3.0%
$67 Vol.
4%
3.1%
$64 Vol.
5%
3.2%
$87 Vol.
5%
3.3%
$345 Vol.
3%
3.4%
$616 Vol.
21%
3.5%
$1,138 Vol.
33%
3.6%
$725 Vol.
30%
3.7%
$309 Vol.
9%
3.8%
$54 Vol.
5%
3.9%
$288 Vol.
1%
≥4.0%
$129 Vol.
4%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, driven by a 3.9% monthly gasoline surge and 2.1% energy increase, along with the Cleveland Fed's 3.43% nowcast for September, anchor trader positioning around 3.5-3.6% outcomes for the September 2026 annual rate. Elevated oil prices, shelter persistence, and rising one-year consumer inflation expectations to 4.6% amid trade tensions introduce upside risks, while core trends near 2.4% and seasonal moderation could cap readings. The tight spread between leading probabilities reflects uncertainty over energy volatility versus goods deflation, with the October 14 release serving as the key catalyst. Market-implied odds aggregate capital-weighted views on these near-term data dynamics.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
ভলিউম
$3,906শেষ তারিখ
Oct 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, driven by a 3.9% monthly gasoline surge and 2.1% energy increase, along with the Cleveland Fed's 3.43% nowcast for September, anchor trader positioning around 3.5-3.6% outcomes for the September 2026 annual rate. Elevated oil prices, shelter persistence, and rising one-year consumer inflation expectations to 4.6% amid trade tensions introduce upside risks, while core trends near 2.4% and seasonal moderation could cap readings. The tight spread between leading probabilities reflects uncertainty over energy volatility versus goods deflation, with the October 14 release serving as the key catalyst. Market-implied odds aggregate capital-weighted views on these near-term data dynamics.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ভলিউম
$3,906শেষ তারিখ
Oct 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, driven by a 3.9% monthly gasoline surge and 2.1% energy increase, along with the Cleveland Fed's 3.43% nowcast for September, anchor trader positioning around 3.5-3.6% outcomes for the September 2026 annual rate. Elevated oil prices, shelter persistence, and rising one-year consumer inflation expectations to 4.6% amid trade tensions introduce upside risks, while core trends near 2.4% and seasonal moderation could cap readings. The tight spread between leading probabilities reflects uncertainty over energy volatility versus goods deflation, with the October 14 release serving as the key catalyst. Market-implied odds aggregate capital-weighted views on these near-term data dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা