Recent August CPI data at 4.82%, the third consecutive print above the RBI’s 4% target, combined with the central bank’s 5% average inflation projection for FY27, underpin the 90.5% market-implied odds on a 4.50%+ annual outcome for 2026. Persistent food price pressures, including onion and broader vegetable inflation near 6%, alongside surging global energy costs from West Asia tensions, have broadened price pressures and prompted economist calls for 25-basis-point repo hikes in October and December. These factors reinforce trader consensus that the annual average will settle above 4.5%. A swift de-escalation in crude markets or unexpectedly favorable supply conditions could still pull the print lower.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড4.50%+ 91%
3.75% to 4.49% 4.5%
<0.75% 1.8%
3.00% to 3.74% <1%
$85,558 Vol.
$85,558 Vol.
Jan 11, 2027
<0.75%
2%
0.75% to 1.49%
<1%
1.50% to 2.24%
<1%
2.25% to 2.99%
<1%
3.00% to 3.74%
1%
3.75% to 4.49%
4%
4.50%+
91%
4.50%+ 91%
3.75% to 4.49% 4.5%
<0.75% 1.8%
3.00% to 3.74% <1%
$85,558 Vol.
$85,558 Vol.
Jan 11, 2027
<0.75%
$2,299 Vol.
2%
0.75% to 1.49%
$1,520 Vol.
<1%
1.50% to 2.24%
$1,580 Vol.
<1%
2.25% to 2.99%
$25,446 Vol.
<1%
3.00% to 3.74%
$2,410 Vol.
1%
3.75% to 4.49%
$31,905 Vol.
4%
4.50%+
$20,397 Vol.
91%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent August CPI data at 4.82%, the third consecutive print above the RBI’s 4% target, combined with the central bank’s 5% average inflation projection for FY27, underpin the 90.5% market-implied odds on a 4.50%+ annual outcome for 2026. Persistent food price pressures, including onion and broader vegetable inflation near 6%, alongside surging global energy costs from West Asia tensions, have broadened price pressures and prompted economist calls for 25-basis-point repo hikes in October and December. These factors reinforce trader consensus that the annual average will settle above 4.5%. A swift de-escalation in crude markets or unexpectedly favorable supply conditions could still pull the print lower.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
ভলিউম
$85,558শেষ তারিখ
Jan 12, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent August CPI data at 4.82%, the third consecutive print above the RBI’s 4% target, combined with the central bank’s 5% average inflation projection for FY27, underpin the 90.5% market-implied odds on a 4.50%+ annual outcome for 2026. Persistent food price pressures, including onion and broader vegetable inflation near 6%, alongside surging global energy costs from West Asia tensions, have broadened price pressures and prompted economist calls for 25-basis-point repo hikes in October and December. These factors reinforce trader consensus that the annual average will settle above 4.5%. A swift de-escalation in crude markets or unexpectedly favorable supply conditions could still pull the print lower.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
ভলিউম
$85,558শেষ তারিখ
Jan 12, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Recent August CPI data at 4.82%, the third consecutive print above the RBI’s 4% target, combined with the central bank’s 5% average inflation projection for FY27, underpin the 90.5% market-implied odds on a 4.50%+ annual outcome for 2026. Persistent food price pressures, including onion and broader vegetable inflation near 6%, alongside surging global energy costs from West Asia tensions, have broadened price pressures and prompted economist calls for 25-basis-point repo hikes in October and December. These factors reinforce trader consensus that the annual average will settle above 4.5%. A swift de-escalation in crude markets or unexpectedly favorable supply conditions could still pull the print lower.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা