Lula holds a decisive lead in Amazonas first-round polling, with recent surveys from DMP, Real Time, and Quaest placing him at 38–46% against Flavio Bolsonaro’s 35–39% and all other candidates in single digits. Traders price this outcome at 71.5% implied probability, reflecting the president’s incumbency advantages, expanded Bolsa Familia payments, and an offshore oil discovery that bolsters his development credentials in the state. Bolsonaro’s campaign has been hampered by a financing scandal and lower regional support outside Manaus, while the broader right-wing field remains fragmented. The October 4 vote occurs amid a nationally close contest and ongoing Supreme Court tensions that have not yet shifted Amazonas-specific sentiment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLula 72%
Flavio Bolsonaro 27%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$26,902 Vol.
$26,902 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
61%
Flavio Bolsonaro
33%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 72%
Flavio Bolsonaro 27%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$26,902 Vol.
$26,902 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$8,525 Vol.
61%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$9,740 Vol.
33%
Clariana Barao
$901 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$729 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$571 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$747 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$836 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$1,149 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$756 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$855 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$542 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$908 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$641 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a decisive lead in Amazonas first-round polling, with recent surveys from DMP, Real Time, and Quaest placing him at 38–46% against Flavio Bolsonaro’s 35–39% and all other candidates in single digits. Traders price this outcome at 71.5% implied probability, reflecting the president’s incumbency advantages, expanded Bolsa Familia payments, and an offshore oil discovery that bolsters his development credentials in the state. Bolsonaro’s campaign has been hampered by a financing scandal and lower regional support outside Manaus, while the broader right-wing field remains fragmented. The October 4 vote occurs amid a nationally close contest and ongoing Supreme Court tensions that have not yet shifted Amazonas-specific sentiment.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
ভলিউম
$26,902শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a decisive lead in Amazonas first-round polling, with recent surveys from DMP, Real Time, and Quaest placing him at 38–46% against Flavio Bolsonaro’s 35–39% and all other candidates in single digits. Traders price this outcome at 71.5% implied probability, reflecting the president’s incumbency advantages, expanded Bolsa Familia payments, and an offshore oil discovery that bolsters his development credentials in the state. Bolsonaro’s campaign has been hampered by a financing scandal and lower regional support outside Manaus, while the broader right-wing field remains fragmented. The October 4 vote occurs amid a nationally close contest and ongoing Supreme Court tensions that have not yet shifted Amazonas-specific sentiment.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ভলিউম
$26,902শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds a decisive lead in Amazonas first-round polling, with recent surveys from DMP, Real Time, and Quaest placing him at 38–46% against Flavio Bolsonaro’s 35–39% and all other candidates in single digits. Traders price this outcome at 71.5% implied probability, reflecting the president’s incumbency advantages, expanded Bolsa Familia payments, and an offshore oil discovery that bolsters his development credentials in the state. Bolsonaro’s campaign has been hampered by a financing scandal and lower regional support outside Manaus, while the broader right-wing field remains fragmented. The October 4 vote occurs amid a nationally close contest and ongoing Supreme Court tensions that have not yet shifted Amazonas-specific sentiment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা