Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor, leads recent Quaest polling at 43% to João Campos (PSB) at 37% in the first round, a margin within the 3-point error that still positions her for a potential outright win on valid votes. Trader pricing reflects her stronger municipal alliances across 139 of 184 Pernambuco cities and consistent polling edge since mid-2026, despite PT President Lula's endorsement of Campos and the PSB-PT alliance. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) remain below 2%, with no other contender showing viability to force a runoff. Recent campaign exchanges over alleged "hate cabinets" and Campos's efforts to close the gap have not yet shifted the narrow technical tie.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRaquel Lyra 69%
João Campos 32%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$48,667 Vol.
$48,667 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
69%
João Campos
32%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
Raquel Lyra 69%
João Campos 32%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$48,667 Vol.
$48,667 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
$22,701 Vol.
69%
João Campos
$20,644 Vol.
32%
Ivan Moraes
$5,323 Vol.
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor, leads recent Quaest polling at 43% to João Campos (PSB) at 37% in the first round, a margin within the 3-point error that still positions her for a potential outright win on valid votes. Trader pricing reflects her stronger municipal alliances across 139 of 184 Pernambuco cities and consistent polling edge since mid-2026, despite PT President Lula's endorsement of Campos and the PSB-PT alliance. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) remain below 2%, with no other contender showing viability to force a runoff. Recent campaign exchanges over alleged "hate cabinets" and Campos's efforts to close the gap have not yet shifted the narrow technical tie.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
ভলিউম
$48,667শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor, leads recent Quaest polling at 43% to João Campos (PSB) at 37% in the first round, a margin within the 3-point error that still positions her for a potential outright win on valid votes. Trader pricing reflects her stronger municipal alliances across 139 of 184 Pernambuco cities and consistent polling edge since mid-2026, despite PT President Lula's endorsement of Campos and the PSB-PT alliance. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) remain below 2%, with no other contender showing viability to force a runoff. Recent campaign exchanges over alleged "hate cabinets" and Campos's efforts to close the gap have not yet shifted the narrow technical tie.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$48,667শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor, leads recent Quaest polling at 43% to João Campos (PSB) at 37% in the first round, a margin within the 3-point error that still positions her for a potential outright win on valid votes. Trader pricing reflects her stronger municipal alliances across 139 of 184 Pernambuco cities and consistent polling edge since mid-2026, despite PT President Lula's endorsement of Campos and the PSB-PT alliance. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) remain below 2%, with no other contender showing viability to force a runoff. Recent campaign exchanges over alleged "hate cabinets" and Campos's efforts to close the gap have not yet shifted the narrow technical tie.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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