Recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote shows a technical tie between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil), with both typically in the mid-40s and minor candidates below 2%. Jerônimo’s approval ratings near 52-57% and the PT’s continuous hold on the governorship since 2007 underpin trader consensus favoring his re-election bid. ACM Neto’s support has narrowed from earlier leads but remains competitive in runoff simulations. No major shifts from debates, endorsements, or campaign events have altered the balance in the past month, leaving the outcome sensitive to final turnout and late momentum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডJerônimo Rodrigues 61%
ACM Neto 37%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$150,608 Vol.
$150,608 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
61%
ACM Neto
37%
João Roma
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 61%
ACM Neto 37%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$150,608 Vol.
$150,608 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$49,800 Vol.
61%
ACM Neto
$58,683 Vol.
37%
João Roma
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$11,986 Vol.
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$13,880 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote shows a technical tie between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil), with both typically in the mid-40s and minor candidates below 2%. Jerônimo’s approval ratings near 52-57% and the PT’s continuous hold on the governorship since 2007 underpin trader consensus favoring his re-election bid. ACM Neto’s support has narrowed from earlier leads but remains competitive in runoff simulations. No major shifts from debates, endorsements, or campaign events have altered the balance in the past month, leaving the outcome sensitive to final turnout and late momentum.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
ভলিউম
$150,608শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote shows a technical tie between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil), with both typically in the mid-40s and minor candidates below 2%. Jerônimo’s approval ratings near 52-57% and the PT’s continuous hold on the governorship since 2007 underpin trader consensus favoring his re-election bid. ACM Neto’s support has narrowed from earlier leads but remains competitive in runoff simulations. No major shifts from debates, endorsements, or campaign events have altered the balance in the past month, leaving the outcome sensitive to final turnout and late momentum.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$150,608শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote shows a technical tie between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil), with both typically in the mid-40s and minor candidates below 2%. Jerônimo’s approval ratings near 52-57% and the PT’s continuous hold on the governorship since 2007 underpin trader consensus favoring his re-election bid. ACM Neto’s support has narrowed from earlier leads but remains competitive in runoff simulations. No major shifts from debates, endorsements, or campaign events have altered the balance in the past month, leaving the outcome sensitive to final turnout and late momentum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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