**Market-implied probabilities for the August 2026 U.S. CPI annual rate cluster tightly around 3.3–3.4%, with 3.4% commanding the highest share at 47.5%.** July’s 3.4% year-over-year print, driven by shelter gains and a 0.1% monthly rise, set the baseline, while forecasts anticipate a 0.4% monthly increase that could hold the annual rate steady or edge it to 3.3%. Rising oil prices and energy components introduce upside risk, tempered by softening core goods and contained services inflation. The closely balanced odds reflect trader focus on the September 11 release and its implications for the FOMC’s September policy decision amid persistent inflation above the 2% target.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড3.4% 48%
3.3% 32%
3.5% 15%
3.2% 6.4%
$91,496 Vol.
$91,496 Vol.
≤2.9%
<1%
3.0%
1%
3.1%
1%
3.2%
6%
3.3%
32%
3.4%
48%
3.5%
15%
3.6%
2%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
<1%
≥4.0%
<1%
3.4% 48%
3.3% 32%
3.5% 15%
3.2% 6.4%
$91,496 Vol.
$91,496 Vol.
≤2.9%
<1%
3.0%
1%
3.1%
1%
3.2%
6%
3.3%
32%
3.4%
48%
3.5%
15%
3.6%
2%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
<1%
≥4.0%
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied probabilities for the August 2026 U.S. CPI annual rate cluster tightly around 3.3–3.4%, with 3.4% commanding the highest share at 47.5%.** July’s 3.4% year-over-year print, driven by shelter gains and a 0.1% monthly rise, set the baseline, while forecasts anticipate a 0.4% monthly increase that could hold the annual rate steady or edge it to 3.3%. Rising oil prices and energy components introduce upside risk, tempered by softening core goods and contained services inflation. The closely balanced odds reflect trader focus on the September 11 release and its implications for the FOMC’s September policy decision amid persistent inflation above the 2% target.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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