Democratic incumbent Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House race, reflecting her strong primary performance, consistent polling advantages, and the state’s long Democratic dominance in congressional contests. Primary results showed Balint securing nearly all Democratic votes while Republican Gerald Malloy, a repeat statewide candidate and former military officer, won his nomination but trails significantly in general-election surveys. Key factors include incumbency advantages, voter alignment on state priorities such as housing affordability, and the absence of major recent shifts in the race. Scheduled events like the October 15 debate and the November 3 general election remain the primary near-term catalysts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political realignment that alters turnout or voter sentiment in this solidly Democratic district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$40,670 交易量
$40,670 交易量
2026-11-03
贝卡·巴林特（民主党）
94%
杰拉尔德·马洛伊（共和党）
5%
$40,670 交易量
$40,670 交易量
2026-11-03
贝卡·巴林特（民主党）
$9,054 交易量
94%
杰拉尔德·马洛伊（共和党）
$31,616 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House race, reflecting her strong primary performance, consistent polling advantages, and the state’s long Democratic dominance in congressional contests. Primary results showed Balint securing nearly all Democratic votes while Republican Gerald Malloy, a repeat statewide candidate and former military officer, won his nomination but trails significantly in general-election surveys. Key factors include incumbency advantages, voter alignment on state priorities such as housing affordability, and the absence of major recent shifts in the race. Scheduled events like the October 15 debate and the November 3 general election remain the primary near-term catalysts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political realignment that alters turnout or voter sentiment in this solidly Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$40,670结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House race, reflecting her strong primary performance, consistent polling advantages, and the state’s long Democratic dominance in congressional contests. Primary results showed Balint securing nearly all Democratic votes while Republican Gerald Malloy, a repeat statewide candidate and former military officer, won his nomination but trails significantly in general-election surveys. Key factors include incumbency advantages, voter alignment on state priorities such as housing affordability, and the absence of major recent shifts in the race. Scheduled events like the October 15 debate and the November 3 general election remain the primary near-term catalysts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political realignment that alters turnout or voter sentiment in this solidly Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$40,670结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETDemocratic incumbent Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House race, reflecting her strong primary performance, consistent polling advantages, and the state’s long Democratic dominance in congressional contests. Primary results showed Balint securing nearly all Democratic votes while Republican Gerald Malloy, a repeat statewide candidate and former military officer, won his nomination but trails significantly in general-election surveys. Key factors include incumbency advantages, voter alignment on state priorities such as housing affordability, and the absence of major recent shifts in the race. Scheduled events like the October 15 debate and the November 3 general election remain the primary near-term catalysts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political realignment that alters turnout or voter sentiment in this solidly Democratic district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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