Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 73 percent of the vote against challenger Alex Balazs, following a Trump endorsement and strong fundraising. North Dakota's at-large district has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Fedorchak's 69 percent victory over the same Democratic-NPL nominee, Trygve Hammer, in 2024. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Fedorchak aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major developments that would alter the path to victory. An unexpected late-campaign event, such as a significant scandal or national political realignment before November 3, remains the primary theoretical route to a different outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$59,908 交易量
$59,908 交易量
2026-11-02
朱莉·费多查克（共和党）
95%
特赖格夫·哈默（民主党）
4%
$59,908 交易量
$59,908 交易量
2026-11-02
朱莉·费多查克（共和党）
$43,115 交易量
95%
特赖格夫·哈默（民主党）
$16,793 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 73 percent of the vote against challenger Alex Balazs, following a Trump endorsement and strong fundraising. North Dakota's at-large district has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Fedorchak's 69 percent victory over the same Democratic-NPL nominee, Trygve Hammer, in 2024. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Fedorchak aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major developments that would alter the path to victory. An unexpected late-campaign event, such as a significant scandal or national political realignment before November 3, remains the primary theoretical route to a different outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$59,908结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 73 percent of the vote against challenger Alex Balazs, following a Trump endorsement and strong fundraising. North Dakota's at-large district has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Fedorchak's 69 percent victory over the same Democratic-NPL nominee, Trygve Hammer, in 2024. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Fedorchak aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major developments that would alter the path to victory. An unexpected late-campaign event, such as a significant scandal or national political realignment before November 3, remains the primary theoretical route to a different outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$59,908结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 73 percent of the vote against challenger Alex Balazs, following a Trump endorsement and strong fundraising. North Dakota's at-large district has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Fedorchak's 69 percent victory over the same Democratic-NPL nominee, Trygve Hammer, in 2024. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Fedorchak aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major developments that would alter the path to victory. An unexpected late-campaign event, such as a significant scandal or national political realignment before November 3, remains the primary theoretical route to a different outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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