Johnny Chiang holds an overwhelming 87.5% implied probability in the Taichung mayoral race due to his March 2026 KMT nomination victory over Yang Chiung-ying via internal polling and a consistent double-digit lead in subsequent surveys. A September 2026 TVBS poll conducted after candidate registration showed Chiang at 45.1% support against DPP nominee Ho Hsin-chun’s 32.5%, with 21.4% undecided and a 36.8-point gap in voter expectations of victory. Chiang’s profile as Legislative Yuan deputy speaker, former KMT chairman, and Taichung-area legislator underpins the trader consensus, while Ho’s 11.6% reflects the DPP’s minority position in the city ahead of the November 28 vote. Yang Chiung-ying’s 1.5% aligns with her withdrawal from contention and pledge of party unity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于江启臣 89%
何欣纯 10.8%
杨琼莹 1.4%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
江启臣
89%
何欣纯
11%
杨琼莹
1%
江启臣 89%
何欣纯 10.8%
杨琼莹 1.4%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
江启臣
$2,112 交易量
89%
何欣纯
$263 交易量
11%
杨琼莹
$1,299 交易量
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Johnny Chiang holds an overwhelming 87.5% implied probability in the Taichung mayoral race due to his March 2026 KMT nomination victory over Yang Chiung-ying via internal polling and a consistent double-digit lead in subsequent surveys. A September 2026 TVBS poll conducted after candidate registration showed Chiang at 45.1% support against DPP nominee Ho Hsin-chun’s 32.5%, with 21.4% undecided and a 36.8-point gap in voter expectations of victory. Chiang’s profile as Legislative Yuan deputy speaker, former KMT chairman, and Taichung-area legislator underpins the trader consensus, while Ho’s 11.6% reflects the DPP’s minority position in the city ahead of the November 28 vote. Yang Chiung-ying’s 1.5% aligns with her withdrawal from contention and pledge of party unity.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 8:50 AM ET
交易量
$3,674结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:50 AM ETTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Johnny Chiang holds an overwhelming 87.5% implied probability in the Taichung mayoral race due to his March 2026 KMT nomination victory over Yang Chiung-ying via internal polling and a consistent double-digit lead in subsequent surveys. A September 2026 TVBS poll conducted after candidate registration showed Chiang at 45.1% support against DPP nominee Ho Hsin-chun’s 32.5%, with 21.4% undecided and a 36.8-point gap in voter expectations of victory. Chiang’s profile as Legislative Yuan deputy speaker, former KMT chairman, and Taichung-area legislator underpins the trader consensus, while Ho’s 11.6% reflects the DPP’s minority position in the city ahead of the November 28 vote. Yang Chiung-ying’s 1.5% aligns with her withdrawal from contention and pledge of party unity.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$3,674结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:50 AM ETJohnny Chiang holds an overwhelming 87.5% implied probability in the Taichung mayoral race due to his March 2026 KMT nomination victory over Yang Chiung-ying via internal polling and a consistent double-digit lead in subsequent surveys. A September 2026 TVBS poll conducted after candidate registration showed Chiang at 45.1% support against DPP nominee Ho Hsin-chun’s 32.5%, with 21.4% undecided and a 36.8-point gap in voter expectations of victory. Chiang’s profile as Legislative Yuan deputy speaker, former KMT chairman, and Taichung-area legislator underpins the trader consensus, while Ho’s 11.6% reflects the DPP’s minority position in the city ahead of the November 28 vote. Yang Chiung-ying’s 1.5% aligns with her withdrawal from contention and pledge of party unity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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