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icon for SC-01众议院选举获胜者

SC-01众议院选举获胜者

icon for SC-01众议院选举获胜者

SC-01众议院选举获胜者

Polymarket

$54,988 交易量

Polymarket

$54,988 交易量

詹妮·科斯塔·哈尼卡特(共和党)

$13,236 交易量

71%

南希·拉科尔(民主党)

$41,752 交易量

30%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Jenny Costa Honeycutt holds a strong lead in the SC-01 general election market due to the district’s established Republican lean and her position as the local GOP nominee in an open seat.** The coastal district carries an R+6 Partisan Voter Index, delivered double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles, and has remained in GOP hands since 2020 following redistricting that favored Republicans. Honeycutt, a Charleston County councilwoman and attorney with deep Lowcountry roots, won her June 23 runoff and benefits from party unity after a crowded primary field that included high-profile names. Nancy Lacore, a retired Navy admiral who secured the Democratic nomination in her own runoff, brings military credentials and strong early fundraising that have drawn outside support, including $2.1 million reserved by House Majority PAC. A July poll showed the race within a few points in head-to-head testing, reflecting Democratic efforts to capitalize on the open seat. However, the district’s structural advantages and forecaster ratings as “Likely Republican” continue to anchor trader pricing around Honeycutt’s 70% range. The November 3 contest remains the key resolution date, with limited new polling or major developments reported since the summer.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$54,988
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Jenny Costa Honeycutt holds a strong lead in the SC-01 general election market due to the district’s established Republican lean and her position as the local GOP nominee in an open seat.** The coastal district carries an R+6 Partisan Voter Index, delivered double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles, and has remained in GOP hands since 2020 following redistricting that favored Republicans. Honeycutt, a Charleston County councilwoman and attorney with deep Lowcountry roots, won her June 23 runoff and benefits from party unity after a crowded primary field that included high-profile names. Nancy Lacore, a retired Navy admiral who secured the Democratic nomination in her own runoff, brings military credentials and strong early fundraising that have drawn outside support, including $2.1 million reserved by House Majority PAC. A July poll showed the race within a few points in head-to-head testing, reflecting Democratic efforts to capitalize on the open seat. However, the district’s structural advantages and forecaster ratings as “Likely Republican” continue to anchor trader pricing around Honeycutt’s 70% range. The November 3 contest remains the key resolution date, with limited new polling or major developments reported since the summer.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$54,988
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET

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常见问题

"SC-01众议院选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"詹妮·科斯塔·哈尼卡特(共和党)",概率为 71%,其次是"南希·拉科尔(民主党)",概率为 30%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 71¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 71%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"SC-01众议院选举获胜者"已产生 $55K 的总交易量(自Jan 28, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"SC-01众议院选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"SC-01众议院选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"詹妮·科斯塔·哈尼卡特(共和党)",概率为 71%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 71%。紧随其后的结果是"南希·拉科尔(民主党)",概率为 30%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"SC-01众议院选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。