**Trader consensus heavily favors below-average September precipitation in Seoul, with the <75 mm bin at 73% implied probability.** Early September 2026 has featured mostly dry conditions under a persistent high-pressure system, with limited rainfall recorded through the first ten days according to Korea Meteorological Administration observations and ECMWF ensemble guidance. Long-term normals for the month range from 128–142 mm, driven by residual East Asian monsoon moisture and occasional typhoon influences, but current model runs show suppressed precipitation chances through mid-to-late September. This combination of observed dryness and stable atmospheric patterns has shifted market-implied odds toward totals well below historical baselines, though any late-season tropical system could still add meaningful accumulation before month-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月首尔降水量？
9月首尔降水量？
<75mm 73%
100-125mm 15%
125-150mm 5.8%
75-100mm 5%
$19,214 交易量
$19,214 交易量
2026-09-30
<75mm
73%
75-100mm
5%
100-125mm
15%
125-150mm
6%
150-175mm
3%
175-200mm
2%
200-250mm
3%
250mm+
4%
<75mm 73%
100-125mm 15%
125-150mm 5.8%
75-100mm 5%
$19,214 交易量
$19,214 交易量
2026-09-30
<75mm
$16,273 交易量
73%
75-100mm
$557 交易量
5%
100-125mm
$365 交易量
15%
125-150mm
$591 交易量
6%
150-175mm
$439 交易量
3%
175-200mm
$422 交易量
2%
200-250mm
$269 交易量
3%
250mm+
$297 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in September, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of September at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors below-average September precipitation in Seoul, with the <75 mm bin at 73% implied probability.**
Early September 2026 has featured mostly dry conditions under a persistent high-pressure system, with limited rainfall recorded through the first ten days according to Korea Meteorological Administration observations and ECMWF ensemble guidance. Long-term normals for the month range from 128–142 mm, driven by residual East Asian monsoon moisture and occasional typhoon influences, but current model runs show suppressed precipitation chances through mid-to-late September. This combination of observed dryness and stable atmospheric patterns has shifted market-implied odds toward totals well below historical baselines, though any late-season tropical system could still add meaningful accumulation before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in September, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of September at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of September at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 9:40 AM ET
交易量
$19,214结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 9:40 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in September, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of September at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors below-average September precipitation in Seoul, with the <75 mm bin at 73% implied probability.**
Early September 2026 has featured mostly dry conditions under a persistent high-pressure system, with limited rainfall recorded through the first ten days according to Korea Meteorological Administration observations and ECMWF ensemble guidance. Long-term normals for the month range from 128–142 mm, driven by residual East Asian monsoon moisture and occasional typhoon influences, but current model runs show suppressed precipitation chances through mid-to-late September. This combination of observed dryness and stable atmospheric patterns has shifted market-implied odds toward totals well below historical baselines, though any late-season tropical system could still add meaningful accumulation before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in September, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of September at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of September at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$19,214结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 9:40 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors below-average September precipitation in Seoul, with the <75 mm bin at 73% implied probability.** Early September 2026 has featured mostly dry conditions under a persistent high-pressure system, with limited rainfall recorded through the first ten days according to Korea Meteorological Administration observations and ECMWF ensemble guidance. Long-term normals for the month range from 128–142 mm, driven by residual East Asian monsoon moisture and occasional typhoon influences, but current model runs show suppressed precipitation chances through mid-to-late September. This combination of observed dryness and stable atmospheric patterns has shifted market-implied odds toward totals well below historical baselines, though any late-season tropical system could still add meaningful accumulation before month-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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