Julianne Moore’s commanding lead in the 2027 Best Actress market stems from the rapturous Telluride premiere of Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut*, where her gonzo, career-best turn as a nobody seizing a breakthrough role drew mid-film applause and immediate Oscar chatter. As a prior winner with five prior nominations, Moore benefits from Academy comfort with second statues and strong early predictor consensus. Inde Navarrette’s buzzy *Obsession* performance and projects for Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and others keep the field competitive, yet lack comparable recent momentum. With nominations voting still months away and fall festivals ahead, guild results and critical reception will shape whether the current trader consensus holds or shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于奥斯卡2027 :最佳女主角
Julianne Moore 66%
Inde Navarrette 15%
Renate Reinsve 10%
Sandra Hüller 7.4%
$129,300 交易量
$129,300 交易量

Julianne Moore
66%

Inde Navarrette
15%

Renate Reinsve
10%

Sandra Hüller
7%

Ruth Madeley
2%

Virginie Efira
1%

Rachel Brosnahan
1%

Scarlett Johansson
<1%

Léa Seydoux
<1%

Sophie Okonedo
<1%

Michelle Williams
<1%
Julianne Moore 66%
Inde Navarrette 15%
Renate Reinsve 10%
Sandra Hüller 7.4%
$129,300 交易量
$129,300 交易量

Julianne Moore
66%

Inde Navarrette
15%

Renate Reinsve
10%

Sandra Hüller
7%

Ruth Madeley
2%

Virginie Efira
1%

Rachel Brosnahan
1%

Scarlett Johansson
<1%

Léa Seydoux
<1%

Sophie Okonedo
<1%

Michelle Williams
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Julianne Moore’s commanding lead in the 2027 Best Actress market stems from the rapturous Telluride premiere of Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut*, where her gonzo, career-best turn as a nobody seizing a breakthrough role drew mid-film applause and immediate Oscar chatter. As a prior winner with five prior nominations, Moore benefits from Academy comfort with second statues and strong early predictor consensus. Inde Navarrette’s buzzy *Obsession* performance and projects for Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and others keep the field competitive, yet lack comparable recent momentum. With nominations voting still months away and fall festivals ahead, guild results and critical reception will shape whether the current trader consensus holds or shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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