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icon for 2026年特纳奖得主

2026年特纳奖得主

icon for 2026年特纳奖得主

2026年特纳奖得主

塔诺亚·萨斯拉库 31%

玛格丽特·雨莫 28%

基拉·弗赖伊 27%

西蒙·巴克利 19%

Polymarket

$13,210 交易量

塔诺亚·萨斯拉库 31%

玛格丽特·雨莫 28%

基拉·弗赖伊 27%

西蒙·巴克利 19%

Polymarket

$13,210 交易量

icon for 塔诺亚·萨斯拉库

塔诺亚·萨斯拉库

$3,606 交易量

31%

icon for 玛格丽特·雨莫

玛格丽特·雨莫

$4,053 交易量

28%

icon for 基拉·弗赖伊

基拉·弗赖伊

$3,129 交易量

27%

icon for 西蒙·巴克利

西蒙·巴克利

$2,422 交易量

19%

The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The shortlist announcement in April 2026 set the stage for this evenly matched Turner Prize market, with traders assigning Tanoa Sasraku the narrowest edge at around 30% implied probability on the strength of her conceptually sharp ICA exhibition *Morale Patch* exploring oil geopolitics through sculpture and found objects. Kira Freije, Marguerite Humeau, and Simeon Barclay follow closely, their respective Hepworth Wakefield and ARKEN shows praised by the jury for emotional depth, ecological speculation, and performance exploring class and identity. With no major precursors or late reviews yet to shift momentum and the group exhibition opening at MIMA on September 26 ahead of the December 10 announcement, sentiment remains fluid as traders weigh historical patterns favoring distinctive installation impact over prior profile.

The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.

If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$13,210
结束日期
2026-12-10
市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The shortlist announcement in April 2026 set the stage for this evenly matched Turner Prize market, with traders assigning Tanoa Sasraku the narrowest edge at around 30% implied probability on the strength of her conceptually sharp ICA exhibition *Morale Patch* exploring oil geopolitics through sculpture and found objects. Kira Freije, Marguerite Humeau, and Simeon Barclay follow closely, their respective Hepworth Wakefield and ARKEN shows praised by the jury for emotional depth, ecological speculation, and performance exploring class and identity. With no major precursors or late reviews yet to shift momentum and the group exhibition opening at MIMA on September 26 ahead of the December 10 announcement, sentiment remains fluid as traders weigh historical patterns favoring distinctive installation impact over prior profile.

The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.

If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$13,210
结束日期
2026-12-10
市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:55 PM ET

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常见问题

"2026年特纳奖得主"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"塔诺亚·萨斯拉库",概率为 31%,其次是"玛格丽特·雨莫",概率为 28%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 31¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 31%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"2026年特纳奖得主"已产生 $13.2K 的总交易量(自Aug 12, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年特纳奖得主"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年特纳奖得主"的当前领先者是"塔诺亚·萨斯拉库",概率为 31%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 31%。紧随其后的结果是"玛格丽特·雨莫",概率为 28%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年特纳奖得主"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。