The shortlist announcement in April 2026 set the stage for this evenly matched Turner Prize market, with traders assigning Tanoa Sasraku the narrowest edge at around 30% implied probability on the strength of her conceptually sharp ICA exhibition *Morale Patch* exploring oil geopolitics through sculpture and found objects. Kira Freije, Marguerite Humeau, and Simeon Barclay follow closely, their respective Hepworth Wakefield and ARKEN shows praised by the jury for emotional depth, ecological speculation, and performance exploring class and identity. With no major precursors or late reviews yet to shift momentum and the group exhibition opening at MIMA on September 26 ahead of the December 10 announcement, sentiment remains fluid as traders weigh historical patterns favoring distinctive installation impact over prior profile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年特纳奖得主
塔诺亚·萨斯拉库 31%
玛格丽特·雨莫 28%
基拉·弗赖伊 27%
西蒙·巴克利 19%
$13,210 交易量
$13,210 交易量

塔诺亚·萨斯拉库
31%

玛格丽特·雨莫
28%

基拉·弗赖伊
27%

西蒙·巴克利
19%
塔诺亚·萨斯拉库 31%
玛格丽特·雨莫 28%
基拉·弗赖伊 27%
西蒙·巴克利 19%
$13,210 交易量
$13,210 交易量

塔诺亚·萨斯拉库
31%

玛格丽特·雨莫
28%

基拉·弗赖伊
27%

西蒙·巴克利
19%
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Aug 12, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The shortlist announcement in April 2026 set the stage for this evenly matched Turner Prize market, with traders assigning Tanoa Sasraku the narrowest edge at around 30% implied probability on the strength of her conceptually sharp ICA exhibition *Morale Patch* exploring oil geopolitics through sculpture and found objects. Kira Freije, Marguerite Humeau, and Simeon Barclay follow closely, their respective Hepworth Wakefield and ARKEN shows praised by the jury for emotional depth, ecological speculation, and performance exploring class and identity. With no major precursors or late reviews yet to shift momentum and the group exhibition opening at MIMA on September 26 ahead of the December 10 announcement, sentiment remains fluid as traders weigh historical patterns favoring distinctive installation impact over prior profile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题