Kaptur's long incumbency since 1983 and proven overperformance in a redrawn northwestern Ohio district continue to anchor trader expectations for her re-election, even as the new lines shifted the seat toward a Trump-won baseline of roughly seven points from 2024. Fundraising favors the Democrat substantially, with Kaptur holding over $3.4 million cash on hand compared to Merrin's roughly $531,000. Merrin secured the Republican nomination in May after a crowded primary and received Trump's endorsement shortly afterward, yet limited general-election polling and forecaster ratings ranging from Lean Democratic to Tilt Republican reflect the competitive but incumbent-protected nature of the contest. Upcoming milestones include the November 3 general election and potential late-cycle national environment shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,665 交易量
$33,665 交易量
2026-11-03
玛西·卡普图尔（民主党）
74%
德里克·梅林（共和党）
26%
$33,665 交易量
$33,665 交易量
2026-11-03
玛西·卡普图尔（民主党）
$6,989 交易量
74%
德里克·梅林（共和党）
$26,676 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kaptur's long incumbency since 1983 and proven overperformance in a redrawn northwestern Ohio district continue to anchor trader expectations for her re-election, even as the new lines shifted the seat toward a Trump-won baseline of roughly seven points from 2024. Fundraising favors the Democrat substantially, with Kaptur holding over $3.4 million cash on hand compared to Merrin's roughly $531,000. Merrin secured the Republican nomination in May after a crowded primary and received Trump's endorsement shortly afterward, yet limited general-election polling and forecaster ratings ranging from Lean Democratic to Tilt Republican reflect the competitive but incumbent-protected nature of the contest. Upcoming milestones include the November 3 general election and potential late-cycle national environment shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
交易量
$33,665结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kaptur's long incumbency since 1983 and proven overperformance in a redrawn northwestern Ohio district continue to anchor trader expectations for her re-election, even as the new lines shifted the seat toward a Trump-won baseline of roughly seven points from 2024. Fundraising favors the Democrat substantially, with Kaptur holding over $3.4 million cash on hand compared to Merrin's roughly $531,000. Merrin secured the Republican nomination in May after a crowded primary and received Trump's endorsement shortly afterward, yet limited general-election polling and forecaster ratings ranging from Lean Democratic to Tilt Republican reflect the competitive but incumbent-protected nature of the contest. Upcoming milestones include the November 3 general election and potential late-cycle national environment shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,665结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETKaptur's long incumbency since 1983 and proven overperformance in a redrawn northwestern Ohio district continue to anchor trader expectations for her re-election, even as the new lines shifted the seat toward a Trump-won baseline of roughly seven points from 2024. Fundraising favors the Democrat substantially, with Kaptur holding over $3.4 million cash on hand compared to Merrin's roughly $531,000. Merrin secured the Republican nomination in May after a crowded primary and received Trump's endorsement shortly afterward, yet limited general-election polling and forecaster ratings ranging from Lean Democratic to Tilt Republican reflect the competitive but incumbent-protected nature of the contest. Upcoming milestones include the November 3 general election and potential late-cycle national environment shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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