Incumbent Mike Turner holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 10th congressional district due to the area’s established Republican lean, his long service since 2003, and consistent reelection margins, including 57.6 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns him an 83.5 percent implied probability. Kristina Knickerbocker, an Air Force veteran who won the May Democratic primary, has narrowed the gap in internal polling from July showing Turner at 45-49 percent, yet faces structural headwinds including lower fundraising and a district boundary shift from 2025 redistricting that preserved the underlying partisan balance. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts absent major national developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$38,921 交易量
$38,921 交易量
2026-11-02
迈克·特纳（共和党）
84%
克里斯蒂娜·尼克博克（民主党）
17%
$38,921 交易量
$38,921 交易量
2026-11-02
迈克·特纳（共和党）
$18,567 交易量
84%
克里斯蒂娜·尼克博克（民主党）
$20,354 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Turner holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 10th congressional district due to the area’s established Republican lean, his long service since 2003, and consistent reelection margins, including 57.6 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns him an 83.5 percent implied probability. Kristina Knickerbocker, an Air Force veteran who won the May Democratic primary, has narrowed the gap in internal polling from July showing Turner at 45-49 percent, yet faces structural headwinds including lower fundraising and a district boundary shift from 2025 redistricting that preserved the underlying partisan balance. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts absent major national developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$38,921结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Turner holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 10th congressional district due to the area’s established Republican lean, his long service since 2003, and consistent reelection margins, including 57.6 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns him an 83.5 percent implied probability. Kristina Knickerbocker, an Air Force veteran who won the May Democratic primary, has narrowed the gap in internal polling from July showing Turner at 45-49 percent, yet faces structural headwinds including lower fundraising and a district boundary shift from 2025 redistricting that preserved the underlying partisan balance. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts absent major national developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$38,921结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Mike Turner holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 10th congressional district due to the area’s established Republican lean, his long service since 2003, and consistent reelection margins, including 57.6 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns him an 83.5 percent implied probability. Kristina Knickerbocker, an Air Force veteran who won the May Democratic primary, has narrowed the gap in internal polling from July showing Turner at 45-49 percent, yet faces structural headwinds including lower fundraising and a district boundary shift from 2025 redistricting that preserved the underlying partisan balance. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts absent major national developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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