Incumbent Ritchie Torres secured a commanding 72% in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 15th Congressional District, defeating challengers Michael Blake and Jose Vega in the Bronx-based seat. This outcome, combined with the district’s long-standing Democratic lean and Cook Political Report “Solid Democratic” rating, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Torres has held the seat since 2021 and won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, and minor-party candidates including Andre Easton face structural barriers in a constituency with limited crossover voting history. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$47,081 交易量
$47,081 交易量
2026-11-02
里奇·托雷斯（民主党）
98%
Stylo Sapaskis（共和党）
<1%
$47,081 交易量
$47,081 交易量
2026-11-02
里奇·托雷斯（民主党）
$27,077 交易量
98%
Stylo Sapaskis（共和党）
$20,004 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ritchie Torres secured a commanding 72% in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 15th Congressional District, defeating challengers Michael Blake and Jose Vega in the Bronx-based seat. This outcome, combined with the district’s long-standing Democratic lean and Cook Political Report “Solid Democratic” rating, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Torres has held the seat since 2021 and won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, and minor-party candidates including Andre Easton face structural barriers in a constituency with limited crossover voting history. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$47,081结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ritchie Torres secured a commanding 72% in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 15th Congressional District, defeating challengers Michael Blake and Jose Vega in the Bronx-based seat. This outcome, combined with the district’s long-standing Democratic lean and Cook Political Report “Solid Democratic” rating, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Torres has held the seat since 2021 and won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, and minor-party candidates including Andre Easton face structural barriers in a constituency with limited crossover voting history. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$47,081结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Ritchie Torres secured a commanding 72% in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 15th Congressional District, defeating challengers Michael Blake and Jose Vega in the Bronx-based seat. This outcome, combined with the district’s long-standing Democratic lean and Cook Political Report “Solid Democratic” rating, underpins trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Torres has held the seat since 2021 and won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, and minor-party candidates including Andre Easton face structural barriers in a constituency with limited crossover voting history. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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