Incumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his long tenure since 2011, and strong primary performance where he secured roughly 80 percent of the vote. The Eastern Shore-based district has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with Harris winning reelection by double-digit margins as recently as 2024. Democrat Dan Schwartz, who narrowly won his June primary, trails in the limited available polling and faces a significant fundraising gap. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as major scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave, though none have materialized in recent weeks to alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$59,571 交易量
$59,571 交易量
2026-11-02
安迪·哈里斯（共和党）
94%
丹·施瓦茨（民主党）
7%
$59,571 交易量
$59,571 交易量
2026-11-02
安迪·哈里斯（共和党）
$33,551 交易量
94%
丹·施瓦茨（民主党）
$26,019 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his long tenure since 2011, and strong primary performance where he secured roughly 80 percent of the vote. The Eastern Shore-based district has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with Harris winning reelection by double-digit margins as recently as 2024. Democrat Dan Schwartz, who narrowly won his June primary, trails in the limited available polling and faces a significant fundraising gap. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as major scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave, though none have materialized in recent weeks to alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$59,571结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his long tenure since 2011, and strong primary performance where he secured roughly 80 percent of the vote. The Eastern Shore-based district has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with Harris winning reelection by double-digit margins as recently as 2024. Democrat Dan Schwartz, who narrowly won his June primary, trails in the limited available polling and faces a significant fundraising gap. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as major scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave, though none have materialized in recent weeks to alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$59,571结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Republican Andy Harris maintains a commanding lead in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his long tenure since 2011, and strong primary performance where he secured roughly 80 percent of the vote. The Eastern Shore-based district has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with Harris winning reelection by double-digit margins as recently as 2024. Democrat Dan Schwartz, who narrowly won his June primary, trails in the limited available polling and faces a significant fundraising gap. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as major scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave, though none have materialized in recent weeks to alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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