Recent forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and ICON runs, point to overnight minimums near 9–11°C in Munich on September 11, with light winds and variable cloud cover limiting radiational cooling under high pressure. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities around 8–10°C outcomes, stems from minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage that could alter the low by 1–2°C. Historical September 11 averages near 10.6°C provide context, yet year-to-year variability—such as 8.2°C in 2024 versus 11.3°C in 2025—highlights sensitivity to local conditions. Updated DWD guidance and late-evening model ensembles before midnight local time represent the next key data points likely to shift positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日慕尼黑最低气温？
9月11日慕尼黑最低气温？
15°C或更高 53%
5°C或以下 47%
9°C 29%
10°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
5°C或以下
47%
6°C
9%
7°C
13%
8°C
25%
9°C
29%
10°C
27%
11°C
21%
12°C
9%
13°C
15%
14°C
15%
15°C或更高
53%
15°C或更高 53%
5°C或以下 47%
9°C 29%
10°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
5°C或以下
$119 交易量
47%
6°C
$23 交易量
9%
7°C
$0 交易量
13%
8°C
$0 交易量
25%
9°C
$0 交易量
29%
10°C
$0 交易量
27%
11°C
$0 交易量
21%
12°C
$571 交易量
9%
13°C
$0 交易量
15%
14°C
$0 交易量
15%
15°C或更高
$0 交易量
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and ICON runs, point to overnight minimums near 9–11°C in Munich on September 11, with light winds and variable cloud cover limiting radiational cooling under high pressure. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities around 8–10°C outcomes, stems from minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage that could alter the low by 1–2°C. Historical September 11 averages near 10.6°C provide context, yet year-to-year variability—such as 8.2°C in 2024 versus 11.3°C in 2025—highlights sensitivity to local conditions. Updated DWD guidance and late-evening model ensembles before midnight local time represent the next key data points likely to shift positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$713结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and ICON runs, point to overnight minimums near 9–11°C in Munich on September 11, with light winds and variable cloud cover limiting radiational cooling under high pressure. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities around 8–10°C outcomes, stems from minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage that could alter the low by 1–2°C. Historical September 11 averages near 10.6°C provide context, yet year-to-year variability—such as 8.2°C in 2024 versus 11.3°C in 2025—highlights sensitivity to local conditions. Updated DWD guidance and late-evening model ensembles before midnight local time represent the next key data points likely to shift positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$713结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and ICON runs, point to overnight minimums near 9–11°C in Munich on September 11, with light winds and variable cloud cover limiting radiational cooling under high pressure. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities around 8–10°C outcomes, stems from minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage that could alter the low by 1–2°C. Historical September 11 averages near 10.6°C provide context, yet year-to-year variability—such as 8.2°C in 2024 versus 11.3°C in 2025—highlights sensitivity to local conditions. Updated DWD guidance and late-evening model ensembles before midnight local time represent the next key data points likely to shift positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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