Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the GFS and European agencies points to a minimum temperature near 9–11°C in Munich overnight into September 10, driven by moderate northeasterly winds, widespread cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points around 9°C that cap further drops. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 9°C (54.5% implied probability), while lower outcomes at 8°C or 7°C reflect residual uncertainty if clearer skies develop or winds weaken more than expected. Historical September 10 averages near 10.8°C provide context, but current conditions favor a slightly cooler reading without extreme cold-air advection. Updated model runs and official observations through the night will refine these probabilities as the minimum is realized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日慕尼黑最低气温？
9月10日慕尼黑最低气温？
6°C或以下 10%
7°C 4%
8°C 3%
10°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
6°C或以下
10%
7°C
4%
8°C
21%
9°C
55%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C或更高
<1%
6°C或以下 10%
7°C 4%
8°C 3%
10°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
6°C或以下
$100 交易量
10%
7°C
$122 交易量
4%
8°C
$102 交易量
21%
9°C
$281 交易量
55%
10°C
$97 交易量
<1%
11°C
$30 交易量
<1%
12°C
$0 交易量
<1%
13°C
$0 交易量
<1%
14°C
$15 交易量
<1%
15°C
$15 交易量
<1%
16°C或更高
$45 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the GFS and European agencies points to a minimum temperature near 9–11°C in Munich overnight into September 10, driven by moderate northeasterly winds, widespread cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points around 9°C that cap further drops. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 9°C (54.5% implied probability), while lower outcomes at 8°C or 7°C reflect residual uncertainty if clearer skies develop or winds weaken more than expected. Historical September 10 averages near 10.8°C provide context, but current conditions favor a slightly cooler reading without extreme cold-air advection. Updated model runs and official observations through the night will refine these probabilities as the minimum is realized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$807结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the GFS and European agencies points to a minimum temperature near 9–11°C in Munich overnight into September 10, driven by moderate northeasterly winds, widespread cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points around 9°C that cap further drops. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 9°C (54.5% implied probability), while lower outcomes at 8°C or 7°C reflect residual uncertainty if clearer skies develop or winds weaken more than expected. Historical September 10 averages near 10.8°C provide context, but current conditions favor a slightly cooler reading without extreme cold-air advection. Updated model runs and official observations through the night will refine these probabilities as the minimum is realized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$807结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from sources like the GFS and European agencies points to a minimum temperature near 9–11°C in Munich overnight into September 10, driven by moderate northeasterly winds, widespread cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points around 9°C that cap further drops. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 9°C (54.5% implied probability), while lower outcomes at 8°C or 7°C reflect residual uncertainty if clearer skies develop or winds weaken more than expected. Historical September 10 averages near 10.8°C provide context, but current conditions favor a slightly cooler reading without extreme cold-air advection. Updated model runs and official observations through the night will refine these probabilities as the minimum is realized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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