Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds are moderating maximum temperatures across Tokyo on September 10, with official forecasts and real-time observations converging on a daily high near 21–22°C. Recent model consensus from GFS and regional analyses highlights suppressed daytime heating due to extensive low-level cloudiness and precipitation chances exceeding 80%, preventing the warmer conditions seen earlier in the month. This atmospheric setup positions 22°C as the market leader at 67.5% implied probability, with 21°C and 23°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor forecast uncertainty around peak timing and localized variations. Updated monitoring from the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日东京气温最高？
9月10日东京气温最高？
22°C 72%
21°C 20%
23°C 10%
24°C 2%
最新
$34,017 交易量
最新
$34,017 交易量
2026-09-10
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
20%
22°C
72%
23°C
10%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
22°C 72%
21°C 20%
23°C 10%
24°C 2%
最新
$34,017 交易量
最新
$34,017 交易量
2026-09-10
17°C或以下
$1,322 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,227 交易量
<1%
19°C
$451 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,437 交易量
<1%
21°C
$7,070 交易量
20%
22°C
$4,269 交易量
72%
23°C
$4,329 交易量
10%
24°C
$3,294 交易量
2%
25°C
$4,858 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,676 交易量
<1%
27°C或更高
$3,083 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds are moderating maximum temperatures across Tokyo on September 10, with official forecasts and real-time observations converging on a daily high near 21–22°C. Recent model consensus from GFS and regional analyses highlights suppressed daytime heating due to extensive low-level cloudiness and precipitation chances exceeding 80%, preventing the warmer conditions seen earlier in the month. This atmospheric setup positions 22°C as the market leader at 67.5% implied probability, with 21°C and 23°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor forecast uncertainty around peak timing and localized variations. Updated monitoring from the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$34,017结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds are moderating maximum temperatures across Tokyo on September 10, with official forecasts and real-time observations converging on a daily high near 21–22°C. Recent model consensus from GFS and regional analyses highlights suppressed daytime heating due to extensive low-level cloudiness and precipitation chances exceeding 80%, preventing the warmer conditions seen earlier in the month. This atmospheric setup positions 22°C as the market leader at 67.5% implied probability, with 21°C and 23°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor forecast uncertainty around peak timing and localized variations. Updated monitoring from the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,017结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETPersistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds are moderating maximum temperatures across Tokyo on September 10, with official forecasts and real-time observations converging on a daily high near 21–22°C. Recent model consensus from GFS and regional analyses highlights suppressed daytime heating due to extensive low-level cloudiness and precipitation chances exceeding 80%, preventing the warmer conditions seen earlier in the month. This atmospheric setup positions 22°C as the market leader at 67.5% implied probability, with 21°C and 23°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor forecast uncertainty around peak timing and localized variations. Updated monitoring from the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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