**Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no point to an overnight minimum around 13–16°C for London on September 11, 2026, driving the strong market weighting toward 15–16°C.** Mild westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light winds are limiting clear-sky radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the seasonal average low near 12°C. Model consensus shows the night starting near 15–16°C with only modest drops under partly cloudy skies, while stronger cooling would require clearer, calmer conditions that current guidance does not support. The 53% implied probability on 16°C reflects this latest model run alignment, with 15°C and 17°C capturing the remaining spread in ensemble outputs. No significant cold advection or high-pressure setup is expected to shift the range lower before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日伦敦最低气温？
9月11日伦敦最低气温？
16°C 54%
15°C 27%
17°C 17%
14°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
10°C或以下
2%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
6%
15°C
27%
16°C
54%
17°C
17%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C或更高
1%
16°C 54%
15°C 27%
17°C 17%
14°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
11°C
$0 交易量
1%
12°C
$0 交易量
2%
13°C
$0 交易量
3%
14°C
$13 交易量
6%
15°C
$361 交易量
27%
16°C
$1,060 交易量
54%
17°C
$59 交易量
17%
18°C
$10 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
1%
20°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no point to an overnight minimum around 13–16°C for London on September 11, 2026, driving the strong market weighting toward 15–16°C.**
Mild westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light winds are limiting clear-sky radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the seasonal average low near 12°C. Model consensus shows the night starting near 15–16°C with only modest drops under partly cloudy skies, while stronger cooling would require clearer, calmer conditions that current guidance does not support.
The 53% implied probability on 16°C reflects this latest model run alignment, with 15°C and 17°C capturing the remaining spread in ensemble outputs. No significant cold advection or high-pressure setup is expected to shift the range lower before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,502结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no point to an overnight minimum around 13–16°C for London on September 11, 2026, driving the strong market weighting toward 15–16°C.**
Mild westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light winds are limiting clear-sky radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the seasonal average low near 12°C. Model consensus shows the night starting near 15–16°C with only modest drops under partly cloudy skies, while stronger cooling would require clearer, calmer conditions that current guidance does not support.
The 53% implied probability on 16°C reflects this latest model run alignment, with 15°C and 17°C capturing the remaining spread in ensemble outputs. No significant cold advection or high-pressure setup is expected to shift the range lower before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,502结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no point to an overnight minimum around 13–16°C for London on September 11, 2026, driving the strong market weighting toward 15–16°C.** Mild westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light winds are limiting clear-sky radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the seasonal average low near 12°C. Model consensus shows the night starting near 15–16°C with only modest drops under partly cloudy skies, while stronger cooling would require clearer, calmer conditions that current guidance does not support. The 53% implied probability on 16°C reflects this latest model run alignment, with 15°C and 17°C capturing the remaining spread in ensemble outputs. No significant cold advection or high-pressure setup is expected to shift the range lower before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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