**The market's overwhelming 98.5% consensus on an 80-81°F low for Dallas on September 20, 2026, aligns with official National Weather Service observations at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, which recorded a minimum of 79°F at 6:46 a.m. CDT.** This value sits just below the bin but reflects the same warm overnight conditions driven by persistent late-summer heat, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that limited radiational cooling. The reading was 12°F above the 1991-2020 normal low of 67°F amid a broader heat wave and extended dry streak. Traders priced in these factors based on model guidance and historical analogs showing rare September overnight lows in the upper 70s during similar patterns. The outcome could face minor challenge only from station-specific microclimate differences or final data revisions, though official climatological summaries confirm the observed minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日达拉斯最低温度?
80-81°F 99%
70-71°F 3%
72-73°F 3%
74-75°F 3%
$446 交易量
$446 交易量
69°F或以下
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
是
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88华氏度或更高
否
80-81°F 99%
70-71°F 3%
72-73°F 3%
74-75°F 3%
$446 交易量
$446 交易量
69°F或以下
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
是
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88华氏度或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**The market's overwhelming 98.5% consensus on an 80-81°F low for Dallas on September 20, 2026, aligns with official National Weather Service observations at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, which recorded a minimum of 79°F at 6:46 a.m. CDT.** This value sits just below the bin but reflects the same warm overnight conditions driven by persistent late-summer heat, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that limited radiational cooling. The reading was 12°F above the 1991-2020 normal low of 67°F amid a broader heat wave and extended dry streak. Traders priced in these factors based on model guidance and historical analogs showing rare September overnight lows in the upper 70s during similar patterns. The outcome could face minor challenge only from station-specific microclimate differences or final data revisions, though official climatological summaries confirm the observed minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题