**Current forecast guidance from numerical models, including GFS runs, indicates an overnight minimum near 9–11 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, favoring efficient radiative cooling after sunset.** This aligns with the market-implied 68 % probability on exactly 9 °C, as traders incorporate the latest observational data showing early-morning readings around 9–10 °C at Schiphol and urban stations. September 2026 has run slightly cooler than the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.3 °C for the date, consistent with broader North Atlantic patterns and recent high-pressure dominance that suppresses cloud cover. Lower-probability outcomes such as 6 °C or below (13 %) would require stronger northerly advection or clearer, drier air than currently modeled, while 10 °C or higher remains unlikely given the established nocturnal cooling trend. Updated model cycles and official KNMI or ECMWF guidance over the next few hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日阿姆斯特丹最低气温？
9月10日阿姆斯特丹最低气温？
6℃或以下 11%
8°C 3%
7°C 3.5%
10°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
6℃或以下
11%
7°C
3%
8°C
3%
9°C
71%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C或更高
<1%
6℃或以下 11%
8°C 3%
7°C 3.5%
10°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
6℃或以下
$5 交易量
11%
7°C
$31 交易量
3%
8°C
$67 交易量
3%
9°C
$199 交易量
71%
10°C
$285 交易量
<1%
11°C
$316 交易量
<1%
12°C
$107 交易量
<1%
13°C
$148 交易量
<1%
14°C
$45 交易量
<1%
15°C
$35 交易量
<1%
16°C或更高
$76 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast guidance from numerical models, including GFS runs, indicates an overnight minimum near 9–11 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, favoring efficient radiative cooling after sunset.** This aligns with the market-implied 68 % probability on exactly 9 °C, as traders incorporate the latest observational data showing early-morning readings around 9–10 °C at Schiphol and urban stations. September 2026 has run slightly cooler than the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.3 °C for the date, consistent with broader North Atlantic patterns and recent high-pressure dominance that suppresses cloud cover. Lower-probability outcomes such as 6 °C or below (13 %) would require stronger northerly advection or clearer, drier air than currently modeled, while 10 °C or higher remains unlikely given the established nocturnal cooling trend. Updated model cycles and official KNMI or ECMWF guidance over the next few hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,314结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast guidance from numerical models, including GFS runs, indicates an overnight minimum near 9–11 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, favoring efficient radiative cooling after sunset.** This aligns with the market-implied 68 % probability on exactly 9 °C, as traders incorporate the latest observational data showing early-morning readings around 9–10 °C at Schiphol and urban stations. September 2026 has run slightly cooler than the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.3 °C for the date, consistent with broader North Atlantic patterns and recent high-pressure dominance that suppresses cloud cover. Lower-probability outcomes such as 6 °C or below (13 %) would require stronger northerly advection or clearer, drier air than currently modeled, while 10 °C or higher remains unlikely given the established nocturnal cooling trend. Updated model cycles and official KNMI or ECMWF guidance over the next few hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,314结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Current forecast guidance from numerical models, including GFS runs, indicates an overnight minimum near 9–11 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, favoring efficient radiative cooling after sunset.** This aligns with the market-implied 68 % probability on exactly 9 °C, as traders incorporate the latest observational data showing early-morning readings around 9–10 °C at Schiphol and urban stations. September 2026 has run slightly cooler than the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.3 °C for the date, consistent with broader North Atlantic patterns and recent high-pressure dominance that suppresses cloud cover. Lower-probability outcomes such as 6 °C or below (13 %) would require stronger northerly advection or clearer, drier air than currently modeled, while 10 °C or higher remains unlikely given the established nocturnal cooling trend. Updated model cycles and official KNMI or ECMWF guidance over the next few hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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