Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 19°C for Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, aligning with the historical average of 19.7°C for the date and supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds around 5–8 m/s, and minimal precipitation expected limit daytime warming, while overnight lows near 11–14°C set a moderate baseline. Trader consensus reflects consensus across official guidance showing limited potential for 20°C under variable cloud cover, with lower probabilities for 18°C or below tied to any unexpected cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations near midday will refine resolution as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
9月10日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
19°C 55%
20°C 35%
18°C 7%
21°C 4%
最新
$15,908 交易量
最新
$15,908 交易量
2026-09-10
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
7%
19°C
55%
20°C
35%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
19°C 55%
20°C 35%
18°C 7%
21°C 4%
最新
$15,908 交易量
最新
$15,908 交易量
2026-09-10
14°C或以下
$398 交易量
<1%
15°C
$267 交易量
<1%
16°C
$276 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,107 交易量
1%
18°C
$1,843 交易量
7%
19°C
$5,077 交易量
55%
20°C
$3,897 交易量
35%
21°C
$1,914 交易量
4%
22°C
$333 交易量
1%
23°C
$274 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$525 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 19°C for Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, aligning with the historical average of 19.7°C for the date and supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds around 5–8 m/s, and minimal precipitation expected limit daytime warming, while overnight lows near 11–14°C set a moderate baseline. Trader consensus reflects consensus across official guidance showing limited potential for 20°C under variable cloud cover, with lower probabilities for 18°C or below tied to any unexpected cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations near midday will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$15,908结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 19°C for Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, aligning with the historical average of 19.7°C for the date and supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds around 5–8 m/s, and minimal precipitation expected limit daytime warming, while overnight lows near 11–14°C set a moderate baseline. Trader consensus reflects consensus across official guidance showing limited potential for 20°C under variable cloud cover, with lower probabilities for 18°C or below tied to any unexpected cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations near midday will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,908结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 19°C for Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, aligning with the historical average of 19.7°C for the date and supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds around 5–8 m/s, and minimal precipitation expected limit daytime warming, while overnight lows near 11–14°C set a moderate baseline. Trader consensus reflects consensus across official guidance showing limited potential for 20°C under variable cloud cover, with lower probabilities for 18°C or below tied to any unexpected cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations near midday will refine resolution as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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