Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the Labor-Meretz merger led by Yair Golan, at 8–10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, supporting the tight distribution across the sub-8, 8–9, and 10–11 brackets. The party’s surplus-vote agreement with Yashar and consolidation of the Zionist left have stabilized support amid a fragmented opposition bloc that trails Netanyahu’s coalition in some surveys but remains short of 61 seats overall. Threshold dynamics for smaller lists, Arab-sector turnout, and final-week shifts in the change bloc continue to create variance in seat projections, leaving traders balanced across the nearest ranges without a dominant outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于少于8 29%
8-9 29%
10-11 22%
12-13 15.9%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少于8
29%
8-9
19%
10-11
22%
12-13
10%
14+
5%
少于8 29%
8-9 29%
10-11 22%
12-13 15.9%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少于8
$1,232 交易量
29%
8-9
$288 交易量
19%
10-11
$309 交易量
22%
12-13
$237 交易量
10%
14+
$185 交易量
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the Labor-Meretz merger led by Yair Golan, at 8–10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, supporting the tight distribution across the sub-8, 8–9, and 10–11 brackets. The party’s surplus-vote agreement with Yashar and consolidation of the Zionist left have stabilized support amid a fragmented opposition bloc that trails Netanyahu’s coalition in some surveys but remains short of 61 seats overall. Threshold dynamics for smaller lists, Arab-sector turnout, and final-week shifts in the change bloc continue to create variance in seat projections, leaving traders balanced across the nearest ranges without a dominant outcome.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
交易量
$2,251结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the Labor-Meretz merger led by Yair Golan, at 8–10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, supporting the tight distribution across the sub-8, 8–9, and 10–11 brackets. The party’s surplus-vote agreement with Yashar and consolidation of the Zionist left have stabilized support amid a fragmented opposition bloc that trails Netanyahu’s coalition in some surveys but remains short of 61 seats overall. Threshold dynamics for smaller lists, Arab-sector turnout, and final-week shifts in the change bloc continue to create variance in seat projections, leaving traders balanced across the nearest ranges without a dominant outcome.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
交易量
$2,251结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETRecent polling averages place The Democrats, the Labor-Meretz merger led by Yair Golan, at 8–10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, supporting the tight distribution across the sub-8, 8–9, and 10–11 brackets. The party’s surplus-vote agreement with Yashar and consolidation of the Zionist left have stabilized support amid a fragmented opposition bloc that trails Netanyahu’s coalition in some surveys but remains short of 61 seats overall. Threshold dynamics for smaller lists, Arab-sector turnout, and final-week shifts in the change bloc continue to create variance in seat projections, leaving traders balanced across the nearest ranges without a dominant outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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