Russ Fulcher’s commanding position in the Idaho 1st congressional district race reflects the district’s consistent Republican tilt, rated Solid Republican by major forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+22. The incumbent secured his party’s nomination with 78 percent in the May 2026 primary and has posted double-digit general-election margins in prior cycles, including 71 percent in 2024. Recent polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits, though with sizable undecided shares. Kaylee Peterson, the Democratic nominee, has raised limited funds relative to Fulcher and faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by wide margins in statewide races. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with the district’s electoral history. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$48,209 交易量
$48,209 交易量
2026-11-02
拉斯·富尔切尔（共和党）
95%
凯莉·彼得森（民主党）
4%
$48,209 交易量
$48,209 交易量
2026-11-02
拉斯·富尔切尔（共和党）
$32,566 交易量
95%
凯莉·彼得森（民主党）
$15,643 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Russ Fulcher’s commanding position in the Idaho 1st congressional district race reflects the district’s consistent Republican tilt, rated Solid Republican by major forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+22. The incumbent secured his party’s nomination with 78 percent in the May 2026 primary and has posted double-digit general-election margins in prior cycles, including 71 percent in 2024. Recent polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits, though with sizable undecided shares. Kaylee Peterson, the Democratic nominee, has raised limited funds relative to Fulcher and faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by wide margins in statewide races. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with the district’s electoral history. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$48,209结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Russ Fulcher’s commanding position in the Idaho 1st congressional district race reflects the district’s consistent Republican tilt, rated Solid Republican by major forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+22. The incumbent secured his party’s nomination with 78 percent in the May 2026 primary and has posted double-digit general-election margins in prior cycles, including 71 percent in 2024. Recent polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits, though with sizable undecided shares. Kaylee Peterson, the Democratic nominee, has raised limited funds relative to Fulcher and faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by wide margins in statewide races. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with the district’s electoral history. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$48,209结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRuss Fulcher’s commanding position in the Idaho 1st congressional district race reflects the district’s consistent Republican tilt, rated Solid Republican by major forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+22. The incumbent secured his party’s nomination with 78 percent in the May 2026 primary and has posted double-digit general-election margins in prior cycles, including 71 percent in 2024. Recent polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits, though with sizable undecided shares. Kaylee Peterson, the Democratic nominee, has raised limited funds relative to Fulcher and faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by wide margins in statewide races. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with the district’s electoral history. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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