OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and subsequent shift of any IPO to 2027, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s assessment that current AI safety and alignment priorities make a 2026 listing “ill-advised,” form the core driver of current Polymarket pricing. Traders appear to price in the possibility of a large primary raise exceeding $100 billion once the company lists at or above its targeted $1 trillion-plus valuation, while also assigning meaningful weight to a smaller offering below $30 billion if the firm completes another substantial private round first. Recent investor approaches at $1.2 trillion and internal talks around $1.5 trillion valuations underscore the scale of capital OpenAI continues to attract, yet the absence of a firm timeline or share count leaves the ultimate IPO size highly sensitive to 2027 market conditions, regulatory review, and any intervening private financings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$100B+ 37%
<$30B 27.0%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$70B–$80B 8.6%
最新
最新
2027-12-30
<$30B
27%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
24%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
9%
$80B–$90B
21%
$90B–$100B
3%
$100B+
56%
$100B+ 37%
<$30B 27.0%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$70B–$80B 8.6%
最新
最新
2027-12-30
<$30B
$603 交易量
27%
$30B–$40B
$463 交易量
4%
$40B–$50B
$1,621 交易量
24%
$50B–$60B
$1,153 交易量
6%
$60B–$70B
$499 交易量
8%
$70B–$80B
$489 交易量
9%
$80B–$90B
$448 交易量
21%
$90B–$100B
$306 交易量
3%
$100B+
$1,942 交易量
56%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and subsequent shift of any IPO to 2027, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s assessment that current AI safety and alignment priorities make a 2026 listing “ill-advised,” form the core driver of current Polymarket pricing. Traders appear to price in the possibility of a large primary raise exceeding $100 billion once the company lists at or above its targeted $1 trillion-plus valuation, while also assigning meaningful weight to a smaller offering below $30 billion if the firm completes another substantial private round first. Recent investor approaches at $1.2 trillion and internal talks around $1.5 trillion valuations underscore the scale of capital OpenAI continues to attract, yet the absence of a firm timeline or share count leaves the ultimate IPO size highly sensitive to 2027 market conditions, regulatory review, and any intervening private financings.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
交易量
$7,524结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and subsequent shift of any IPO to 2027, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s assessment that current AI safety and alignment priorities make a 2026 listing “ill-advised,” form the core driver of current Polymarket pricing. Traders appear to price in the possibility of a large primary raise exceeding $100 billion once the company lists at or above its targeted $1 trillion-plus valuation, while also assigning meaningful weight to a smaller offering below $30 billion if the firm completes another substantial private round first. Recent investor approaches at $1.2 trillion and internal talks around $1.5 trillion valuations underscore the scale of capital OpenAI continues to attract, yet the absence of a firm timeline or share count leaves the ultimate IPO size highly sensitive to 2027 market conditions, regulatory review, and any intervening private financings.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,524结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETOpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and subsequent shift of any IPO to 2027, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s assessment that current AI safety and alignment priorities make a 2026 listing “ill-advised,” form the core driver of current Polymarket pricing. Traders appear to price in the possibility of a large primary raise exceeding $100 billion once the company lists at or above its targeted $1 trillion-plus valuation, while also assigning meaningful weight to a smaller offering below $30 billion if the firm completes another substantial private round first. Recent investor approaches at $1.2 trillion and internal talks around $1.5 trillion valuations underscore the scale of capital OpenAI continues to attract, yet the absence of a firm timeline or share count leaves the ultimate IPO size highly sensitive to 2027 market conditions, regulatory review, and any intervening private financings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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