Recent meteorological forecasts from models such as GFS project a high of 24–25°C in Paris on September 22 under clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high pressure, positioning these as the dominant market-implied outcomes at 53% and 38.5%. This aligns with above-average conditions for mid-September, when the climatological high averages near 21°C, and reflects consistent guidance across sources with minimal model spread. The slight edge toward 24°C stems from afternoon peak readings near 24°C in most runs, while any late-day warming could tip toward 25°C. With resolution imminent, traders monitor final observational adjustments from official stations for any small revisions in maximum temperature.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日巴黎气温最高？
9月22日巴黎气温最高？
24°C 51%
25°C 38%
23°C 8%
26°C 5%
最新
$16,975 交易量
最新
$16,975 交易量
2026-09-22
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
51%
25°C
38%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 51%
25°C 38%
23°C 8%
26°C 5%
最新
$16,975 交易量
最新
$16,975 交易量
2026-09-22
19°C或以下
$1,338 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,304 交易量
<1%
21°C
$153 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,085 交易量
1%
23°C
$2,192 交易量
8%
24°C
$4,244 交易量
51%
25°C
$3,346 交易量
38%
26°C
$1,906 交易量
5%
27°C
$947 交易量
<1%
28°C
$115 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$345 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from models such as GFS project a high of 24–25°C in Paris on September 22 under clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high pressure, positioning these as the dominant market-implied outcomes at 53% and 38.5%. This aligns with above-average conditions for mid-September, when the climatological high averages near 21°C, and reflects consistent guidance across sources with minimal model spread. The slight edge toward 24°C stems from afternoon peak readings near 24°C in most runs, while any late-day warming could tip toward 25°C. With resolution imminent, traders monitor final observational adjustments from official stations for any small revisions in maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$16,975结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from models such as GFS project a high of 24–25°C in Paris on September 22 under clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high pressure, positioning these as the dominant market-implied outcomes at 53% and 38.5%. This aligns with above-average conditions for mid-September, when the climatological high averages near 21°C, and reflects consistent guidance across sources with minimal model spread. The slight edge toward 24°C stems from afternoon peak readings near 24°C in most runs, while any late-day warming could tip toward 25°C. With resolution imminent, traders monitor final observational adjustments from official stations for any small revisions in maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,975结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent meteorological forecasts from models such as GFS project a high of 24–25°C in Paris on September 22 under clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high pressure, positioning these as the dominant market-implied outcomes at 53% and 38.5%. This aligns with above-average conditions for mid-September, when the climatological high averages near 21°C, and reflects consistent guidance across sources with minimal model spread. The slight edge toward 24°C stems from afternoon peak readings near 24°C in most runs, while any late-day warming could tip toward 25°C. With resolution imminent, traders monitor final observational adjustments from official stations for any small revisions in maximum temperature.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题