Forecast consensus from European and global models, including GFS runs and German meteorological guidance, supports a daily maximum of 22°C in Munich on September 19, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with observed afternoon readings near or at that level and sits modestly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C for the date. With evening temperatures already falling into the mid-teens Celsius, the market-implied near-certainty at 22°C reflects the limited remaining window for deviation. Only an unexpected late surge from atypical advection or station-specific microclimate effects could alter the recorded high, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日慕尼黑的最高温度？
9月19日慕尼黑的最高温度？
22°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$28,232 交易量
$28,232 交易量
2026-09-19
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或更高
否
22°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$28,232 交易量
$28,232 交易量
2026-09-19
19°C或以下
$121 交易量
否
20°C
$1,275 交易量
否
21°C
$2,507 交易量
否
22°C
$8,105 交易量
是
23°C
$4,272 交易量
否
24°C
$5,543 交易量
否
25°C
$2,315 交易量
否
26°C
$1,154 交易量
否
27°C
$2,603 交易量
否
28°C
$169 交易量
否
29°C或更高
$169 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from European and global models, including GFS runs and German meteorological guidance, supports a daily maximum of 22°C in Munich on September 19, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with observed afternoon readings near or at that level and sits modestly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C for the date. With evening temperatures already falling into the mid-teens Celsius, the market-implied near-certainty at 22°C reflects the limited remaining window for deviation. Only an unexpected late surge from atypical advection or station-specific microclimate effects could alter the recorded high, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$28,232结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from European and global models, including GFS runs and German meteorological guidance, supports a daily maximum of 22°C in Munich on September 19, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with observed afternoon readings near or at that level and sits modestly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C for the date. With evening temperatures already falling into the mid-teens Celsius, the market-implied near-certainty at 22°C reflects the limited remaining window for deviation. Only an unexpected late surge from atypical advection or station-specific microclimate effects could alter the recorded high, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,232结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Forecast consensus from European and global models, including GFS runs and German meteorological guidance, supports a daily maximum of 22°C in Munich on September 19, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with observed afternoon readings near or at that level and sits modestly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C for the date. With evening temperatures already falling into the mid-teens Celsius, the market-implied near-certainty at 22°C reflects the limited remaining window for deviation. Only an unexpected late surge from atypical advection or station-specific microclimate effects could alter the recorded high, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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