Official National Weather Service observations for September 21, 2026, established a daily high in the 98–99°F range at primary Austin stations such as Camp Mabry, aligning with the market's near-certain 98–99°F outcome. This reflects late-summer atmospheric conditions under a record-hot September pattern, with minimal cloud cover, light easterly winds, and heat indices near 105°F but no widespread exceedance of 100°F that day. Forecaster model consensus and real-time surface data reinforced this range against historical September averages around 90°F. A realistic shift would require post-verification adjustments from the main reporting station or an overlooked microclimate spike, though current data agreement makes such revisions improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月21日奥斯汀的最高温度？
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F或以下 <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93华氏度 <1%
$38,104 交易量
$38,104 交易量
2026-09-21
89°F或以下
否
90-91°F
否
92-93华氏度
否
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
是
100-101°F
否
102-103华氏度
否
104-105°F
否
106-107°F
否
108°F或更高
否
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F或以下 <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93华氏度 <1%
$38,104 交易量
$38,104 交易量
2026-09-21
89°F或以下
$111 交易量
否
90-91°F
$362 交易量
否
92-93华氏度
$7,715 交易量
否
94-95°F
$3,610 交易量
否
96-97°F
$10,337 交易量
否
98-99°F
$8,366 交易量
是
100-101°F
$5,380 交易量
否
102-103华氏度
$1,425 交易量
否
104-105°F
$255 交易量
否
106-107°F
$431 交易量
否
108°F或更高
$111 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for September 21, 2026, established a daily high in the 98–99°F range at primary Austin stations such as Camp Mabry, aligning with the market's near-certain 98–99°F outcome. This reflects late-summer atmospheric conditions under a record-hot September pattern, with minimal cloud cover, light easterly winds, and heat indices near 105°F but no widespread exceedance of 100°F that day. Forecaster model consensus and real-time surface data reinforced this range against historical September averages around 90°F. A realistic shift would require post-verification adjustments from the main reporting station or an overlooked microclimate spike, though current data agreement makes such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$38,104结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for September 21, 2026, established a daily high in the 98–99°F range at primary Austin stations such as Camp Mabry, aligning with the market's near-certain 98–99°F outcome. This reflects late-summer atmospheric conditions under a record-hot September pattern, with minimal cloud cover, light easterly winds, and heat indices near 105°F but no widespread exceedance of 100°F that day. Forecaster model consensus and real-time surface data reinforced this range against historical September averages around 90°F. A realistic shift would require post-verification adjustments from the main reporting station or an overlooked microclimate spike, though current data agreement makes such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,104结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations for September 21, 2026, established a daily high in the 98–99°F range at primary Austin stations such as Camp Mabry, aligning with the market's near-certain 98–99°F outcome. This reflects late-summer atmospheric conditions under a record-hot September pattern, with minimal cloud cover, light easterly winds, and heat indices near 105°F but no widespread exceedance of 100°F that day. Forecaster model consensus and real-time surface data reinforced this range against historical September averages around 90°F. A realistic shift would require post-verification adjustments from the main reporting station or an overlooked microclimate spike, though current data agreement makes such revisions improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题