Northeast monsoon flow and associated subsidence are anchoring trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s September 11 maximum temperature, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a dry 25–31 °C range under mostly sunny skies and northeast winds of 4–5. This supports the near-even split between the 31 °C and 32 °C contracts. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon insolation under variable cloud cover, and small spreads among global and regional models explain why probabilities remain closely matched rather than decisive. Low precipitation risk minimizes evaporative cooling, while typical September climatology shows highs near 31 °C, leaving limited upside for outcomes above 33 °C. Updated HKO guidance and afternoon observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日香港气温最高？
9月11日香港气温最高？
32°C 39%
31°C 36%
30°C 12%
33°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
12%
31°C
36%
32°C
39%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
32°C 39%
31°C 36%
30°C 12%
33°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
26°C或以下
$265 交易量
<1%
27°C
$57 交易量
<1%
28°C
$610 交易量
2%
29°C
$513 交易量
2%
30°C
$876 交易量
12%
31°C
$334 交易量
36%
32°C
$1,949 交易量
39%
33°C
$565 交易量
8%
34°C
$95 交易量
1%
35°C
$75 交易量
<1%
36°C或更高
$161 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow and associated subsidence are anchoring trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s September 11 maximum temperature, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a dry 25–31 °C range under mostly sunny skies and northeast winds of 4–5. This supports the near-even split between the 31 °C and 32 °C contracts. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon insolation under variable cloud cover, and small spreads among global and regional models explain why probabilities remain closely matched rather than decisive. Low precipitation risk minimizes evaporative cooling, while typical September climatology shows highs near 31 °C, leaving limited upside for outcomes above 33 °C. Updated HKO guidance and afternoon observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,500结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow and associated subsidence are anchoring trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s September 11 maximum temperature, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a dry 25–31 °C range under mostly sunny skies and northeast winds of 4–5. This supports the near-even split between the 31 °C and 32 °C contracts. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon insolation under variable cloud cover, and small spreads among global and regional models explain why probabilities remain closely matched rather than decisive. Low precipitation risk minimizes evaporative cooling, while typical September climatology shows highs near 31 °C, leaving limited upside for outcomes above 33 °C. Updated HKO guidance and afternoon observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,500结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNortheast monsoon flow and associated subsidence are anchoring trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s September 11 maximum temperature, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a dry 25–31 °C range under mostly sunny skies and northeast winds of 4–5. This supports the near-even split between the 31 °C and 32 °C contracts. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon insolation under variable cloud cover, and small spreads among global and regional models explain why probabilities remain closely matched rather than decisive. Low precipitation risk minimizes evaporative cooling, while typical September climatology shows highs near 31 °C, leaving limited upside for outcomes above 33 °C. Updated HKO guidance and afternoon observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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