Incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in the CA-51 general election due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in her 2024 reelection with over 60% of the vote and strong primary performance this June where she captured nearly 58%. The San Diego-area seat carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, with limited crossover appeal for Republican challenger Ricardo Cabrera. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Jacobs aligns with historical patterns for safe seats and the absence of major recent developments such as scandals or shifts in voter registration. Potential challenges remain narrow and would likely require unforeseen late-cycle events like a national political realignment or significant candidate-specific issues within the final weeks before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,967 交易量
$33,967 交易量
2026-11-02
萨拉·雅各布斯（民主党）
96%
里卡多·卡布雷拉（共和党）
5%
$33,967 交易量
$33,967 交易量
2026-11-02
萨拉·雅各布斯（民主党）
$18,229 交易量
96%
里卡多·卡布雷拉（共和党）
$15,738 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in the CA-51 general election due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in her 2024 reelection with over 60% of the vote and strong primary performance this June where she captured nearly 58%. The San Diego-area seat carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, with limited crossover appeal for Republican challenger Ricardo Cabrera. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Jacobs aligns with historical patterns for safe seats and the absence of major recent developments such as scandals or shifts in voter registration. Potential challenges remain narrow and would likely require unforeseen late-cycle events like a national political realignment or significant candidate-specific issues within the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$33,967结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in the CA-51 general election due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in her 2024 reelection with over 60% of the vote and strong primary performance this June where she captured nearly 58%. The San Diego-area seat carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, with limited crossover appeal for Republican challenger Ricardo Cabrera. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Jacobs aligns with historical patterns for safe seats and the absence of major recent developments such as scandals or shifts in voter registration. Potential challenges remain narrow and would likely require unforeseen late-cycle events like a national political realignment or significant candidate-specific issues within the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,967结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETIncumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in the CA-51 general election due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in her 2024 reelection with over 60% of the vote and strong primary performance this June where she captured nearly 58%. The San Diego-area seat carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, with limited crossover appeal for Republican challenger Ricardo Cabrera. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Jacobs aligns with historical patterns for safe seats and the absence of major recent developments such as scandals or shifts in voter registration. Potential challenges remain narrow and would likely require unforeseen late-cycle events like a national political realignment or significant candidate-specific issues within the final weeks before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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