Ted Lieu’s commanding position in California’s 36th congressional district stems from the seat’s deep Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong performance in presidential and prior House voting. As the long-serving incumbent, Lieu captured roughly 61 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, far ahead of Republican Houston Brignano’s 15 percent, and holds a massive fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million raised versus Brignano’s minimal totals. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The wide implied probability aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent developments—such as scandals, polling shifts, or national waves—that have historically altered outcomes in comparable safe seats. Low-probability challengers to the consensus would require an unforeseen late-breaking event or turnout anomaly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,241 交易量
$35,241 交易量
2026-11-02
刘云平（民主党）
95%
休斯敦·布里格纳诺（共和党）
5%
$35,241 交易量
$35,241 交易量
2026-11-02
刘云平（民主党）
$6,297 交易量
95%
休斯敦·布里格纳诺（共和党）
$28,944 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ted Lieu’s commanding position in California’s 36th congressional district stems from the seat’s deep Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong performance in presidential and prior House voting. As the long-serving incumbent, Lieu captured roughly 61 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, far ahead of Republican Houston Brignano’s 15 percent, and holds a massive fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million raised versus Brignano’s minimal totals. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The wide implied probability aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent developments—such as scandals, polling shifts, or national waves—that have historically altered outcomes in comparable safe seats. Low-probability challengers to the consensus would require an unforeseen late-breaking event or turnout anomaly.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$35,241结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ted Lieu’s commanding position in California’s 36th congressional district stems from the seat’s deep Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong performance in presidential and prior House voting. As the long-serving incumbent, Lieu captured roughly 61 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, far ahead of Republican Houston Brignano’s 15 percent, and holds a massive fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million raised versus Brignano’s minimal totals. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The wide implied probability aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent developments—such as scandals, polling shifts, or national waves—that have historically altered outcomes in comparable safe seats. Low-probability challengers to the consensus would require an unforeseen late-breaking event or turnout anomaly.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,241结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTed Lieu’s commanding position in California’s 36th congressional district stems from the seat’s deep Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong performance in presidential and prior House voting. As the long-serving incumbent, Lieu captured roughly 61 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, far ahead of Republican Houston Brignano’s 15 percent, and holds a massive fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million raised versus Brignano’s minimal totals. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The wide implied probability aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent developments—such as scandals, polling shifts, or national waves—that have historically altered outcomes in comparable safe seats. Low-probability challengers to the consensus would require an unforeseen late-breaking event or turnout anomaly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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