Incumbent Zoe Lofgren holds a dominant position in California's 18th congressional district race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, her long tenure since 1995, and consistent reelection margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. She advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican challenger Shane Lewis, a Marine veteran, while outpacing him significantly in fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican competitiveness in this area. The general election on November 3 offers little time for major shifts absent unforeseen developments such as health events, scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout that could narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$40,054 交易量
$40,054 交易量
2026-11-02
佐伊·洛夫格伦（民主党）
97%
谢恩·刘易斯（共和党）
2%
$40,054 交易量
$40,054 交易量
2026-11-02
佐伊·洛夫格伦（民主党）
$20,835 交易量
97%
谢恩·刘易斯（共和党）
$19,218 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Zoe Lofgren holds a dominant position in California's 18th congressional district race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, her long tenure since 1995, and consistent reelection margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. She advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican challenger Shane Lewis, a Marine veteran, while outpacing him significantly in fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican competitiveness in this area. The general election on November 3 offers little time for major shifts absent unforeseen developments such as health events, scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$40,054结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Zoe Lofgren holds a dominant position in California's 18th congressional district race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, her long tenure since 1995, and consistent reelection margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. She advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican challenger Shane Lewis, a Marine veteran, while outpacing him significantly in fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican competitiveness in this area. The general election on November 3 offers little time for major shifts absent unforeseen developments such as health events, scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$40,054结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETIncumbent Zoe Lofgren holds a dominant position in California's 18th congressional district race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, her long tenure since 1995, and consistent reelection margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. She advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican challenger Shane Lewis, a Marine veteran, while outpacing him significantly in fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican competitiveness in this area. The general election on November 3 offers little time for major shifts absent unforeseen developments such as health events, scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout that could narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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