Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a dominant position in the Arkansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Crawford, seeking a ninth term, advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and benefits from substantial fundraising superiority, with over $940,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green’s roughly $65,000. Green, a retired pathologist and political newcomer, also advanced without primary opposition but faces structural barriers in a district where the prior Republican nominee exceeded 70 percent of the general election vote. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though none have materialized to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,840 交易量
$26,840 交易量
2026-11-02
里克·克劳福德（共和党）
96%
特莉·格林（民主党）
1%
$26,840 交易量
$26,840 交易量
2026-11-02
里克·克劳福德（共和党）
$16,491 交易量
96%
特莉·格林（民主党）
$10,349 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a dominant position in the Arkansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Crawford, seeking a ninth term, advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and benefits from substantial fundraising superiority, with over $940,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green’s roughly $65,000. Green, a retired pathologist and political newcomer, also advanced without primary opposition but faces structural barriers in a district where the prior Republican nominee exceeded 70 percent of the general election vote. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$26,840结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a dominant position in the Arkansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Crawford, seeking a ninth term, advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and benefits from substantial fundraising superiority, with over $940,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green’s roughly $65,000. Green, a retired pathologist and political newcomer, also advanced without primary opposition but faces structural barriers in a district where the prior Republican nominee exceeded 70 percent of the general election vote. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,840结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETIncumbent Rick Crawford holds a dominant position in the Arkansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Crawford, seeking a ninth term, advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and benefits from substantial fundraising superiority, with over $940,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green’s roughly $65,000. Green, a retired pathologist and political newcomer, also advanced without primary opposition but faces structural barriers in a district where the prior Republican nominee exceeded 70 percent of the general election vote. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though none have materialized to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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