Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama’s 1st Congressional District in the August 11, 2026 special primary with 74.6% of the vote against three challengers, positioning him to face unopposed Democratic nominee Clyde Jones Jr. in the November 3 general election. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election margins, underpins trader consensus around Carl’s commanding lead. His prior service representing the area from 2021 to 2025, combined with endorsements from President Trump and business groups, plus a substantial fundraising edge, reinforce this positioning. Jones has raised minimal funds and lacks comparable visibility. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though the district’s structural Republican advantage makes such changes improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$48,300 交易量
$48,300 交易量
2026-11-02
杰里·卡尔（共和党）
95%
克莱德·琼斯二世（民主党）
3%
$48,300 交易量
$48,300 交易量
2026-11-02
杰里·卡尔（共和党）
$21,635 交易量
95%
克莱德·琼斯二世（民主党）
$26,665 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama’s 1st Congressional District in the August 11, 2026 special primary with 74.6% of the vote against three challengers, positioning him to face unopposed Democratic nominee Clyde Jones Jr. in the November 3 general election. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election margins, underpins trader consensus around Carl’s commanding lead. His prior service representing the area from 2021 to 2025, combined with endorsements from President Trump and business groups, plus a substantial fundraising edge, reinforce this positioning. Jones has raised minimal funds and lacks comparable visibility. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though the district’s structural Republican advantage makes such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
交易量
$48,300结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama’s 1st Congressional District in the August 11, 2026 special primary with 74.6% of the vote against three challengers, positioning him to face unopposed Democratic nominee Clyde Jones Jr. in the November 3 general election. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election margins, underpins trader consensus around Carl’s commanding lead. His prior service representing the area from 2021 to 2025, combined with endorsements from President Trump and business groups, plus a substantial fundraising edge, reinforce this positioning. Jones has raised minimal funds and lacks comparable visibility. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though the district’s structural Republican advantage makes such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$48,300结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETJerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama’s 1st Congressional District in the August 11, 2026 special primary with 74.6% of the vote against three challengers, positioning him to face unopposed Democratic nominee Clyde Jones Jr. in the November 3 general election. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election margins, underpins trader consensus around Carl’s commanding lead. His prior service representing the area from 2021 to 2025, combined with endorsements from President Trump and business groups, plus a substantial fundraising edge, reinforce this positioning. Jones has raised minimal funds and lacks comparable visibility. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though the district’s structural Republican advantage makes such changes improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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