Trump remains firmly in office as the 47th president with Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress, rendering removal before September 30 highly improbable. Multiple Democratic impeachment resolutions, including one introduced in August 2026 citing foreign policy and constitutional concerns tied to the Iran conflict, have advanced no further than committee referral. Parallel calls to invoke the 25th Amendment have come exclusively from the minority party and lack support from Vice President Vance or Cabinet members. With fewer than three weeks remaining, the procedural thresholds for House impeachment followed by a two-thirds Senate conviction or Cabinet action make any change before the deadline structurally unfeasible absent an unforeseen acute crisis such as sudden incapacity or a rapid bipartisan reversal. Trader consensus at 98.9% for “No” reflects these institutional barriers and the absence of recent developments capable of shifting the timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
1% 概率
$558,592 交易量
$558,592 交易量
2026-09-30
是
1% 概率
$558,592 交易量
$558,592 交易量
2026-09-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains firmly in office as the 47th president with Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress, rendering removal before September 30 highly improbable. Multiple Democratic impeachment resolutions, including one introduced in August 2026 citing foreign policy and constitutional concerns tied to the Iran conflict, have advanced no further than committee referral. Parallel calls to invoke the 25th Amendment have come exclusively from the minority party and lack support from Vice President Vance or Cabinet members. With fewer than three weeks remaining, the procedural thresholds for House impeachment followed by a two-thirds Senate conviction or Cabinet action make any change before the deadline structurally unfeasible absent an unforeseen acute crisis such as sudden incapacity or a rapid bipartisan reversal. Trader consensus at 98.9% for “No” reflects these institutional barriers and the absence of recent developments capable of shifting the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
交易量
$558,592结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains firmly in office as the 47th president with Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress, rendering removal before September 30 highly improbable. Multiple Democratic impeachment resolutions, including one introduced in August 2026 citing foreign policy and constitutional concerns tied to the Iran conflict, have advanced no further than committee referral. Parallel calls to invoke the 25th Amendment have come exclusively from the minority party and lack support from Vice President Vance or Cabinet members. With fewer than three weeks remaining, the procedural thresholds for House impeachment followed by a two-thirds Senate conviction or Cabinet action make any change before the deadline structurally unfeasible absent an unforeseen acute crisis such as sudden incapacity or a rapid bipartisan reversal. Trader consensus at 98.9% for “No” reflects these institutional barriers and the absence of recent developments capable of shifting the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$558,592结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETTrump remains firmly in office as the 47th president with Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress, rendering removal before September 30 highly improbable. Multiple Democratic impeachment resolutions, including one introduced in August 2026 citing foreign policy and constitutional concerns tied to the Iran conflict, have advanced no further than committee referral. Parallel calls to invoke the 25th Amendment have come exclusively from the minority party and lack support from Vice President Vance or Cabinet members. With fewer than three weeks remaining, the procedural thresholds for House impeachment followed by a two-thirds Senate conviction or Cabinet action make any change before the deadline structurally unfeasible absent an unforeseen acute crisis such as sudden incapacity or a rapid bipartisan reversal. Trader consensus at 98.9% for “No” reflects these institutional barriers and the absence of recent developments capable of shifting the timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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