Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval hovering near 37-39 percent amid sustained public concern over inflation, elevated gas prices, and the ongoing U.S. military engagement with Iran. Multiple surveys released in mid-September, including Marquette and NBC News, recorded net approval at or below minus 20 points, with weakening support among independents and even some very conservative voters. Traders appear to view these economic and foreign-policy headwinds as the dominant near-term influences, producing tight clustering around the 38 percent range for the September 25 reading. Any last-minute diplomatic signals on Iran or fresh economic data could still shift the final aggregate before the market resolves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于38.0–38.4 30%
38.5–38.9 30%
39.0–39.4 20%
低于37.5 14%
低于37.5
14%
37.5–37.9
14%
38.0–38.4
30%
38.5–38.9
30%
39.0–39.4
20%
39.5以上
8%
38.0–38.4 30%
38.5–38.9 30%
39.0–39.4 20%
低于37.5 14%
低于37.5
14%
37.5–37.9
14%
38.0–38.4
30%
38.5–38.9
30%
39.0–39.4
20%
39.5以上
8%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间: Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ET
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval hovering near 37-39 percent amid sustained public concern over inflation, elevated gas prices, and the ongoing U.S. military engagement with Iran. Multiple surveys released in mid-September, including Marquette and NBC News, recorded net approval at or below minus 20 points, with weakening support among independents and even some very conservative voters. Traders appear to view these economic and foreign-policy headwinds as the dominant near-term influences, producing tight clustering around the 38 percent range for the September 25 reading. Any last-minute diplomatic signals on Iran or fresh economic data could still shift the final aggregate before the market resolves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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警惕外部链接哦。
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